Shasta County, California: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Shasta County, California has a Relatively Moderate natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 93.4 out of 100, higher than about 93% of US counties, with wildfires, earthquakes and inland (river and flash) flooding scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $135 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 39 federal disaster declarations that included Shasta County since 1964, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4699-CA (Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides, declared 3 April 2023). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has no tornado on record touching Shasta County from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for California All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 181,918 Buildings worth $42 billion Area 3,886 sq mi Risk rank in California 33 of 58 FIPS 06089
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively High | 99.5 | $35 million | about once every 114 years | — |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate | 96.5 | $24 million | about once every 43 years | — |
| Inland flooding | Relatively High | 94.8 | $72 million | about once a year | 28 |
| Volcanic activity | Relatively Moderate | 94.8 | $245,452 | about once every 455 years | 3 |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate | 92.4 | $77,898 | about 6.4 a year | — |
| Heat wave | Relatively Moderate | 85.7 | $2.1 million | about 5 a year | 60 |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 76.1 | $720,280 | about 77 a year | 2,751 |
| Winter weather | Relatively Moderate | 70.7 | $131,073 | about 21 a year | 397 |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 66.8 | $431,655 | about 14 a year | 103,832 strikes |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 40.9 | $273 | about once every 100 years | 0 |
| Hail | Very Low | 17.0 | $57,693 | about once every 9.8 years | 3.9 |
| Tornado | Very Low | 15.4 | $148,756 | about once every 15 years | 0 |
| Strong wind | Very Low | 8.0 | $57,389 | about once every 67 years | 1 |
| Cold wave | Very Low | 2.7 | $1 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | 0 |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Ice storm | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 39
Most common: Fire 22, Severe Storm 7, Flood 7, Hurricane 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1960s | 2 | Flood ×2 |
| 1970s | 3 | Flood ×2, Drought |
| 1980s | 3 | Fire, Flood, Coastal Storm |
| 1990s | 6 | Severe Storm ×3, Fire ×2, Flood |
| 2000s | 10 | Fire ×8, Severe Storm, Hurricane |
| 2010s | 11 | Fire ×8, Severe Storm ×2, Flood |
| 2020s | 4 | Fire ×3, Severe Storm |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Shasta County
- Hurricane Katrina Evacuation (2005, EM-3248-CA): 58 California counties designated.
- Severe Winter Storms, Flooding Landslides, Mud Flow (1995, DR-1046-CA): 57 California counties designated.
- Severe Storms, Flooding, Mud and Landslides (1997, DR-1155-CA): 48 California counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. California also had 30 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 0
No tornado in NOAA's Storm Prediction Center record touched Shasta County between 1950 and 2025. That does not mean one cannot happen.
How Shasta County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shasta County (this page) | — | Relatively Moderate | 93.4 | Wildfire |
| Tehama County | 73 km | Relatively Moderate | 88.9 | Drought |
| Trinity County | 91 km | Relatively Low | 79.5 | Landslide |
| Siskiyou County | 101 km | Relatively Moderate | 89.0 | Drought |
| Lassen County | 122 km | Relatively Low | 73.1 | Wildfire |
| Butte County | 128 km | Relatively Moderate | 93.9 | Drought |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in California, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively Moderate 41.1 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Relatively Moderate 47.7 |
| Community risk factor | 1.06 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $135 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Shasta County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for California · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Wildfire: US wildfires now · Wildfire smoke: what protects you
- Earthquake: Earthquakes today · Earthquake safety guide
- Inland flooding: Flood safety: why shallow water kills · Floods recorded
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Shasta County
What natural disasters is Shasta County, California most at risk from?
Shasta County, California has a Relatively Moderate natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 93.4 out of 100, higher than about 93% of US counties, with wildfires, earthquakes and inland (river and flash) flooding scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $135 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Shasta County had?
OpenFEMA lists 39 federal disaster declarations that included Shasta County since 1964, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4699-CA (Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides, declared 3 April 2023). Another 30 California declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Shasta County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has no tornado on record touching Shasta County from 1950 to 2025.
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.