Menifee County, Kentucky: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Menifee County, Kentucky has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 6.2 out of 100, higher than about 6% of US counties, with landslides, wildfires and winter storms scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $3.4 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 30 federal disaster declarations that included Menifee County since 1993, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4913-KY (Severe Winter Storm, declared 29 May 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 5 tornadoes touching Menifee County from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for Kentucky All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 6,070 Buildings worth $1.2 billion Area 208 sq mi Risk rank in Kentucky 119 of 120 FIPS 21165
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 80.8 | $16,739 | about once every 1.6 years | — |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 51.5 | $51,359 | about once every 526 years | — |
| Winter weather | Very Low | 23.8 | $21,557 | about 15 a year | 277 |
| Strong wind | Relatively Low | 22.1 | $200,645 | about 4.6 a year | 177 |
| Inland flooding | Very Low | 21.8 | $2.6 million | about 1.5 a year | 41 |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 21.8 | $44 | about once every 100 years | 0 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 20.4 | $29,703 | about once every 610 years | — |
| Heat wave | Very Low | 20.2 | $62,557 | about 2.7 a year | 41 |
| Tornado | Very Low | 19.8 | $224,174 | about once every 15 years | 6 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 16.6 | $4,315 | about once every 43 years | 6 |
| Drought | Very Low | 15.5 | $799 | about 2.8 a year | 70 |
| Hail | Very Low | 15.2 | $51,459 | about 3.2 a year | 121 |
| Lightning | Very Low | 14.7 | $49,437 | about 51 a year | 15,994 strikes |
| Ice storm | Very Low | 14.1 | $8,407 | about once every 2.3 years | 30 |
| Cold wave | Very Low | 12.6 | $115,012 | about 1.1 a year | 21 |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 30
Most common: Severe Storm 17, Snowstorm 4, Severe Ice Storm 3, Winter Storm 2.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1990s | 5 | Snowstorm ×3, Severe Storm ×2 |
| 2000s | 7 | Severe Storm ×4, Severe Ice Storm ×2, Hurricane |
| 2010s | 6 | Severe Storm ×4, Flood, Snowstorm |
| 2020s | 12 | Severe Storm ×7, Winter Storm ×2, Tropical Storm, Flood, Severe Ice Storm |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Menifee County
- Severe Winter Storm (2026, EM-3633-KY): 120 Kentucky counties designated.
- Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding (2025, EM-3626-KY): 120 Kentucky counties designated.
- Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Landslides (2025, EM-3624-KY): 120 Kentucky counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Helene (2024), Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Kentucky also had 4 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 5
| Tornadoes touching the county | 5 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F1 ×1 |
| Peak month | March (2) |
| Deadliest | — |
| Longest path | 6 Feb 2008, EF0, 4 mi path |
| Most recent | 9 Apr 2011, EF0, 0.3 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 0 / 0 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Menifee County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Menifee County (this page) | — | Very Low | 6.2 | Landslide |
| Powell County | 23 km | Very Low | 31.2 | Strong wind |
| Wolfe County | 24 km | Very Low | 18.5 | Landslide |
| Bath County | 26 km | Very Low | 13.7 | Lightning |
| Montgomery County | 29 km | Very Low | 34.3 | Strong wind |
| Morgan County | 30 km | Very Low | 22.1 | Landslide |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Kentucky, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively Low 37.9 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Relatively Low 23.2 |
| Community risk factor | 1.05 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $3.4 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Menifee County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Kentucky · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Landslide: Landslides recorded
- Wildfire: US wildfires now · Wildfire smoke: what protects you
- Winter weather: Power outages now · Carbon monoxide in winter
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Menifee County
What natural disasters is Menifee County, Kentucky most at risk from?
Menifee County, Kentucky has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 6.2 out of 100, higher than about 6% of US counties, with landslides, wildfires and winter storms scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $3.4 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Menifee County had?
OpenFEMA lists 30 federal disaster declarations that included Menifee County since 1993, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4913-KY (Severe Winter Storm, declared 29 May 2026). Another 4 Kentucky declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Menifee County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 5 tornadoes touching Menifee County from 1950 to 2025.
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.