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FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · OpenFEMA · NOAA SPC · data checked 2 Nov 2026

Murray County, Oklahoma: Natural Disaster Risk and History

Murray County, Oklahoma has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 32.5 out of 100, higher than about 32% of US counties, with landslides, wildfires and ice storms scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $7.9 million a year in expected losses.

OpenFEMA lists 24 federal disaster declarations that included Murray County since 1970, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is FM-5626-OK (Buck Horn Fire, declared 19 March 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 46 tornadoes touching Murray County from 1950 to 2025.

Live weather alerts for Oklahoma All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations

Population 13,860 Buildings worth $2.6 billion Area 429 sq mi Risk rank in Oklahoma 60 of 77 FIPS 40099

All 18 hazards, highest risk first

FEMA National Risk Index
HazardRisk ratingScoreExpected loss a yearHow oftenEvents in record
LandslideRelatively Moderate 95.0 $97,949 about once every 6.8 years —
WildfireRelatively Low 82.4 $399,687 about once every 149 years —
Ice stormRelatively Moderate 80.7 $326,903 about 1.5 a year 101
HailRelatively Moderate 73.7 $502,079 about 9 a year 340
TornadoRelatively Moderate 68.6 $1.8 million about once every 2.4 years 32
DroughtRelatively Moderate 67.7 $343,622 about 39 a year 1,232
Heat waveRelatively Low 64.7 $547,849 about 19 a year 311
Strong windRelatively Moderate 53.4 $461,388 about 3.8 a year 145
Winter weatherRelatively Low 41.9 $36,853 about 7.6 a year 144
LightningRelatively Low 37.7 $112,258 about 54 a year 63,283 strikes
EarthquakeVery Low 37.5 $98,536 about once every 725 years —
Cold waveRelatively Low 35.2 $403,704 about 1.3 a year 24
Inland floodingVery Low 31.5 $2.8 million about 1.3 a year 35
HurricaneVery Low 28.4 $9,413 about once every 120 years 2
AvalancheNot Applicable — — — —
Coastal floodingNot Applicable — — — —
TsunamiNot Applicable — — — —
Volcanic activityNot Applicable — — — —

Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.

Federal disaster declarations 24

Most common: Severe Ice Storm 7, Severe Storm 6, Fire 5, Tornado 3.

DecadeDeclarationsIncident types
1970s2Flood, Severe Storm
1980s1Flood
1990s2Tornado, Severe Storm
2000s9Severe Ice Storm ×4, Fire ×3, Hurricane, Severe Storm
2010s6Severe Storm ×3, Tornado, Fire, Severe Ice Storm
2020s4Severe Ice Storm ×2, Fire, Tornado

The last 10

Buck Horn Fire FM-5626-OK · Fire · declared 19 Mar 2026
Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding DR-4776-OK · Tornado · declared 30 Apr 2024 · households could apply
Severe Winter Storms DR-4587-OK · Severe Ice Storm · declared 24 Feb 2021 · households could apply
Severe Winter Storm EM-3555-OK · Severe Ice Storm · declared 17 Feb 2021
Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding DR-4324-OK · Tornado · declared 25 Jul 2017
Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding DR-4222-OK · Severe Storm · declared 26 May 2015 · households could apply
Falls Creek Fire FM-2939-OK · Fire · declared 15 Jul 2011
Severe Winter Storm EM-3316-OK · Severe Storm · declared 2 Feb 2011
Severe Winter Storm DR-1883-OK · Severe Ice Storm · declared 5 Mar 2010
Severe Winter Storm EM-3308-OK · Severe Storm · declared 30 Jan 2010

Widest declarations that included Murray County

  • Severe Winter Storms (2021, DR-4587-OK): 77 Oklahoma counties designated.
  • Severe Winter Storm (2021, EM-3555-OK): 77 Oklahoma counties designated.
  • Severe Winter Storm (2011, EM-3316-OK): 77 Oklahoma counties designated.

Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Katrina (2005).

Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Oklahoma also had 24 statewide declarations with no county list.

Tornado record since 1950 46

Tornadoes touching the county46
Strongest-rated(E)F4 ×1
Peak monthApril (17)
Deadliest19 Apr 1972, F4, 28.2 mi path, 5 killed, 6 injured
Longest path2 Dec 1953, F1, 31.4 mi path, 0 killed, 2 injured
Most recent19 Apr 2025, unrated, 0.5 mi path
Deaths / injuries on those paths8 / 45
Rating(E)F0(E)F1(E)F2(E)F3(E)F4(E)F5Unrated
Count131793103
Decade1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Count9163110106

Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.

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How Murray County compares with its 5 nearest counties

CountyDistanceOverall riskScoreTop hazard
Murray County (this page)—Very Low32.5 Landslide
Carter County 33 kmRelatively Low74.9 Hail
Garvin County 33 kmRelatively Low61.7 Ice storm
Johnston County 42 kmVery Low25.4 Ice storm
Pontotoc County 44 kmRelatively Low62.9 Ice storm
Marshall County 58 kmRelatively Low49.0 Ice storm

Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Oklahoma, ranked.

Vulnerability and resilience

Social vulnerabilityRelatively High 72.0
Community resilienceVery Low 17.7
Community risk factor1.38
Expected annual loss, all hazards$7.9 million

FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.

Prepare for Murray County's main hazards

What this page shows, and what it misses

FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.

Questions about Murray County

What natural disasters is Murray County, Oklahoma most at risk from?

Murray County, Oklahoma has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 32.5 out of 100, higher than about 32% of US counties, with landslides, wildfires and ice storms scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $7.9 million a year in expected losses.

How many federal disaster declarations has Murray County had?

OpenFEMA lists 24 federal disaster declarations that included Murray County since 1970, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is FM-5626-OK (Buck Horn Fire, declared 19 March 2026). Another 24 Oklahoma declarations were made statewide without a county list.

How many tornadoes have hit Murray County?

NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 46 tornadoes touching Murray County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 19 Apr 1972, F4, 28.2 mi path, 5 killed, 6 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).

Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?

No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.