Providence County, Rhode Island: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Providence County, Rhode Island has a Relatively Moderate natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 93.7 out of 100, higher than about 93% of US counties, with heat waves, inland (river and flash) flooding and hurricanes scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $130 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 23 federal disaster declarations that included Providence County since 1978, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4766-RI (Severe Storms and Flooding, declared 20 March 2024). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 8 tornadoes touching Providence County from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for Rhode Island All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 660,349 Buildings worth $112 billion Area 440 sq mi Risk rank in Rhode Island 1 of 5 FIPS 44007
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat wave | Relatively High | 97.2 | $8.8 million | about 6 a year | 99 |
| Inland flooding | Relatively High | 96.6 | $93 million | about 3 a year | 84 |
| Hurricane | Relatively Moderate | 91.7 | $9.5 million | about once every 5.7 years | 50 |
| Cold wave | Relatively High | 90.6 | $6.9 million | about 1.3 a year | 24 |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 89.4 | $4.4 million | about once every 758 years | — |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 89.0 | $1.0 million | about 22 a year | 313,239 strikes |
| Ice storm | Relatively High | 87.3 | $660,948 | about 2.4 a year | 162 |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | 78.3 | $3.3 million | about once every 10 years | 13 |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 75.1 | $635,550 | about 2 a year | 77 |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 74.7 | $8,059 | about once every 3.2 years | — |
| Coastal flooding | Relatively Low | 56.4 | $305,415 | about 3.8 a year | — |
| Strong wind | Relatively Moderate | 53.5 | $553,340 | about 1.2 a year | 45 |
| Winter weather | Relatively Low | 37.3 | $37,198 | about 14 a year | 269 |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 34.9 | $36,437 | about 2.1 a year | 133 |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 31.7 | $14,387 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Insufficient Data | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 23
Most common: Severe Storm 7, Snowstorm 7, Hurricane 7, Other 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1970s | 2 | Snowstorm ×2 |
| 1980s | 1 | Hurricane |
| 1990s | 5 | Snowstorm ×2, Other, Toxic Substances, Hurricane |
| 2000s | 3 | Snowstorm ×2, Hurricane |
| 2010s | 7 | Severe Storm ×4, Hurricane ×3 |
| 2020s | 5 | Severe Storm ×3, Snowstorm, Hurricane |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Providence County
- Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm (2022, DR-4653-RI): 5 Rhode Island counties designated.
- Hurricane Henri (2021, EM-3563-RI): 5 Rhode Island counties designated.
- Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm (2015, DR-4212-RI): 5 Rhode Island counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Henri (2021), Hurricane Sandy (2012), Tropical Storm Irene (2011), Hurricane Irene (2011), Hurricane Katrina (2005), Hurricane Bob (1991), Hurricane Gloria (1985).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Rhode Island also had 2 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 8
| Tornadoes touching the county | 8 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F2 ×2 |
| Peak month | August (4) |
| Deadliest | 7 Aug 1986, F2, 4 mi path, 0 killed, 20 injured |
| Longest path | 18 Aug 2023, EF2, 9.1 mi path, 0 killed, 1 injured |
| Most recent | 13 Sep 2023, EF1, 0.2 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 0 / 24 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Providence County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Providence County (this page) | — | Relatively Moderate | 93.7 | Heat wave |
| Kent County | 22 km | Relatively Low | 69.4 | Hurricane |
| Bristol County | 30 km | Very Low | 19.4 | Hurricane |
| Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT | 33 km | Relatively Low | 62.8 | Hurricane |
| Bristol County, MA | 39 km | Relatively Moderate | 89.9 | Inland flooding |
| Norfolk County, MA | 44 km | Relatively Moderate | 92.0 | Inland flooding |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Rhode Island, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively Moderate 53.0 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Relatively High 64.6 |
| Community risk factor | 1.15 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $130 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Providence County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Rhode Island · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Heat wave: Heatstroke warning signs
- Inland flooding: Flood safety: why shallow water kills · Floods recorded
- Hurricane: Is there a hurricane now? · Cyclone preparation
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Providence County
What natural disasters is Providence County, Rhode Island most at risk from?
Providence County, Rhode Island has a Relatively Moderate natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 93.7 out of 100, higher than about 93% of US counties, with heat waves, inland (river and flash) flooding and hurricanes scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $130 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Providence County had?
OpenFEMA lists 23 federal disaster declarations that included Providence County since 1978, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4766-RI (Severe Storms and Flooding, declared 20 March 2024). Another 2 Rhode Island declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Providence County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 8 tornadoes touching Providence County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 7 Aug 1986, F2, 4 mi path, 0 killed, 20 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.