Todd County, South Dakota: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Todd County, South Dakota has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 36.6 out of 100, higher than about 36% of US counties, with wildfires, winter storms and cold waves scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $6.2 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 11 federal disaster declarations that included Todd County since 1976, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4689-SD (Severe Winter Storms and Snowstorm, declared 27 February 2023). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 41 tornadoes touching Todd County from 1950 to 2025.
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Population 9,304 Buildings worth $2.3 billion Area 1,405 sq mi Risk rank in South Dakota 22 of 66 FIPS 46121
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Moderate | 94.1 | $1.5 million | about once every 417 years | — |
| Winter weather | Relatively High | 88.6 | $199,164 | about 15 a year | 290 |
| Cold wave | Relatively Moderate | 76.4 | $1.6 million | about 5.3 a year | 101 |
| Ice storm | Relatively Low | 57.7 | $64,924 | about once every 4.0 years | 17 |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 54.6 | $170,847 | about 3.6 a year | 135 |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 46.9 | $112,012 | about 38 a year | 26,030 strikes |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 41.7 | $494,500 | about once every 2.5 years | 29 |
| Strong wind | Relatively Low | 35.6 | $191,035 | about 2.3 a year | 86 |
| Heat wave | Very Low | 33.9 | $90,197 | about 3.3 a year | 45 |
| Drought | Very Low | 29.3 | $12,170 | about 36 a year | 1,022 |
| Landslide | Very Low | 28.4 | $145 | about once every 2.4 years | — |
| Inland flooding | Very Low | 28.3 | $1.8 million | about once every 1.8 years | 16 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 24.4 | $22,477 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 11
Most common: Flood 4, Severe Storm 3, Winter Storm 1, Snowstorm 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1970s | 1 | Drought |
| 1990s | 2 | Flood, Severe Storm |
| 2000s | 4 | Snowstorm, Coastal Storm, Severe Storm, Flood |
| 2010s | 3 | Flood ×2, Severe Storm |
| 2020s | 1 | Winter Storm |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Todd County
- Hurricane Katrina Evacuation (2005, EM-3234-SD): 66 South Dakota counties designated.
- Severe Flooding, Sever Winter Storms,heavy Rains High Winds (1997, DR-1173-SD): 66 South Dakota counties designated.
- Severe Winter Storms and Blizzard Conditions (1997, DR-1156-SD): 66 South Dakota counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. South Dakota also had 18 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 41
| Tornadoes touching the county | 41 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F2 ×5 |
| Peak month | June (13) |
| Deadliest | 27 Apr 2025, EF1, 13.8 mi path, 0 killed, 6 injured |
| Longest path | 2 Jul 1974, F2, 18.5 mi path |
| Most recent | 20 Jul 2025, unrated, 0.1 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 0 / 7 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 30 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 0 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Todd County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd County (this page) | — | Very Low | 36.6 | Wildfire |
| Mellette County | 43 km | Very Low | 5.2 | Wildfire |
| Tripp County | 70 km | Very Low | 36.5 | Cold wave |
| Bennett County | 77 km | Very Low | 5.9 | Wildfire |
| Cherry County, NE | 79 km | Very Low | 13.6 | Wildfire |
| Jones County | 85 km | Very Low | 1.3 | Wildfire |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in South Dakota, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Very High 97.7 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Very Low 0.3 |
| Community risk factor | 1.95 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $6.2 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Todd County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for South Dakota · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Wildfire: US wildfires now · Wildfire smoke: what protects you
- Winter weather: Power outages now · Carbon monoxide in winter
- Cold wave: Carbon monoxide in winter · Power outages now
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Todd County
What natural disasters is Todd County, South Dakota most at risk from?
Todd County, South Dakota has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 36.6 out of 100, higher than about 36% of US counties, with wildfires, winter storms and cold waves scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $6.2 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Todd County had?
OpenFEMA lists 11 federal disaster declarations that included Todd County since 1976, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4689-SD (Severe Winter Storms and Snowstorm, declared 27 February 2023). Another 18 South Dakota declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Todd County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 41 tornadoes touching Todd County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 27 Apr 2025, EF1, 13.8 mi path, 0 killed, 6 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.