Hardy County, West Virginia: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Hardy County, West Virginia has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 42.5 out of 100, higher than about 42% of US counties, with landslides, hurricanes and avalanches scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $11 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 20 federal disaster declarations that included Hardy County since 1967, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3639-WV (Severe Winter Storm, declared 24 January 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has no tornado on record touching Hardy County from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for West Virginia All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 14,289 Buildings worth $4.9 billion Area 590 sq mi Risk rank in West Virginia 33 of 55 FIPS 54031
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate | 89.8 | $45,134 | about 1.3 a year | — |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | 72.7 | $618,237 | about once every 26 years | 12 |
| Avalanche | Relatively Low | 68.1 | $2,926 | about once every 100 years | 0 |
| Inland flooding | Relatively Low | 65.3 | $8.7 million | about 1.4 a year | 38 |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 57.0 | $56,581 | about once every 813 years | — |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 52.2 | $136,313 | about 3.8 a year | 112 |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 37.5 | $131,097 | about 2.2 a year | 85 |
| Cold wave | Relatively Low | 35.1 | $430,103 | about 2.6 a year | 49 |
| Winter weather | Relatively Low | 33.8 | $28,564 | about 14 a year | 269 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 33.1 | $79,329 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Strong wind | Relatively Low | 31.4 | $246,040 | about 3.2 a year | 123 |
| Lightning | Very Low | 22.4 | $62,072 | about 38 a year | 35,815 strikes |
| Heat wave | Very Low | 20.7 | $53,270 | about 1.8 a year | 33 |
| Tornado | Very Low | 16.3 | $134,374 | about once every 6.7 years | 1 |
| Ice storm | Very Low | 11.2 | $4,775 | about once every 2.4 years | 28 |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 20
Most common: Severe Storm 6, Flood 4, Hurricane 3, Snowstorm 3.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1960s | 1 | Flood |
| 1970s | 3 | Drought ×2, Flood |
| 1980s | 1 | Flood |
| 1990s | 4 | Snowstorm ×2, Severe Storm, Flood |
| 2000s | 5 | Severe Storm ×2, Hurricane ×2, Fire |
| 2010s | 5 | Severe Storm ×3, Hurricane, Snowstorm |
| 2020s | 1 | Winter Storm |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Hardy County
- Severe Winter Storm (2026, EM-3639-WV): 55 West Virginia counties designated.
- Hurricane Sandy (2012, EM-3358-WV): 55 West Virginia counties designated.
- Severe Storms (2012, EM-3345-WV): 55 West Virginia counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Sandy (2012), Hurricane Katrina (2005), Hurricane Isabel (2003), Hurricane Fran (1996), Tropical Storm Agnes (1972).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. West Virginia also had 6 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 0
No tornado in NOAA's Storm Prediction Center record touched Hardy County between 1950 and 2025. That does not mean one cannot happen.
How Hardy County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hardy County (this page) | — | Very Low | 42.5 | Landslide |
| Shenandoah County, VA | 30 km | Relatively Low | 59.8 | Landslide |
| Grant County | 31 km | Very Low | 33.2 | Landslide |
| Hampshire County | 40 km | Very Low | 38.0 | Landslide |
| Mineral County | 46 km | Relatively Low | 52.8 | Landslide |
| Page County, VA | 54 km | Very Low | 37.9 | Hurricane |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in West Virginia, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively High 65.2 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Relatively Low 23.9 |
| Community risk factor | 1.29 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $11 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Hardy County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for West Virginia · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Landslide: Landslides recorded
- Hurricane: Is there a hurricane now? · Cyclone preparation
- Avalanche: Official warnings now
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Hardy County
What natural disasters is Hardy County, West Virginia most at risk from?
Hardy County, West Virginia has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 42.5 out of 100, higher than about 42% of US counties, with landslides, hurricanes and avalanches scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $11 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Hardy County had?
OpenFEMA lists 20 federal disaster declarations that included Hardy County since 1967, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3639-WV (Severe Winter Storm, declared 24 January 2026). Another 6 West Virginia declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Hardy County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has no tornado on record touching Hardy County from 1950 to 2025.
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.