Oconto County, Wisconsin: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Oconto County, Wisconsin has a Relatively Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 61.5 out of 100, higher than about 61% of US counties, with cold waves, lightning and hail scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $22 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 4 federal disaster declarations that included Oconto County since 1973, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4459-WI (Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding, declared 27 August 2019). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 16 tornadoes touching Oconto County from 1950 to 2025.
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Population 38,902 Buildings worth $15 billion Area 1,160 sq mi Risk rank in Wisconsin 40 of 72 FIPS 55083
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cold wave | Relatively Moderate | 86.7 | $5.6 million | about 6 a year | 102 |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 86.5 | $1.0 million | about 3 a year | 88,016 strikes |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 73.6 | $664,635 | about 1.7 a year | 65 |
| Inland flooding | Relatively Low | 68.8 | $13 million | about once a year | 28 |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 63.3 | $3,431 | about once every 5.0 years | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 60.3 | $1.8 million | about once every 3.2 years | 11 |
| Strong wind | Relatively Moderate | 52.2 | $595,489 | about 1.8 a year | 62 |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 38.8 | $24,081 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Winter weather | Relatively Low | 38.6 | $43,448 | about 16 a year | 269 |
| Coastal flooding | Very Low | 37.8 | $12,538 | about once every 69 years | — |
| Ice storm | Relatively Low | 32.1 | $36,723 | about once every 5.9 years | 11 |
| Heat wave | Very Low | 28.2 | $122,050 | about once every 1.2 years | 13 |
| Drought | Very Low | 13.1 | $59 | about once every 3.1 years | 35 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 13.0 | $13,472 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Hurricane | No Rating | 0.0 | — | about once every 833 years | 2 |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Insufficient Data | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 4
Most common: Flood 2, Hurricane 1, Drought 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1970s | 2 | Drought, Flood |
| 2000s | 1 | Hurricane |
| 2010s | 1 | Flood |
The last 4
Widest declarations that included Oconto County
- Hurricane Katrina Evacuation (2005, EM-3249-WI): 72 Wisconsin counties designated.
- Drought (1976, EM-3014-WI): 66 Wisconsin counties designated.
- Severe Storms & Flooding (1973, DR-376-WI): 34 Wisconsin counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Wisconsin also had 1 statewide declaration with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 16
| Tornadoes touching the county | 16 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F3 ×3 |
| Peak month | June (9) |
| Deadliest | 7 Jun 2007, EF3, 40.1 mi path, 0 killed, 3 injured |
| Longest path | 28 Sep 1971, F3, 78.4 mi path |
| Most recent | 23 Jul 2025, EF1, 2.3 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 0 / 4 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Oconto County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oconto County (this page) | — | Relatively Low | 61.5 | Cold wave |
| Menominee County | 35 km | Very Low | 9.1 | Lightning |
| Marinette County | 44 km | Relatively Low | 80.0 | Cold wave |
| Shawano County | 47 km | Relatively Low | 63.1 | Cold wave |
| Brown County | 67 km | Relatively Moderate | 90.0 | Cold wave |
| Langlade County | 68 km | Relatively Low | 49.6 | Cold wave |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Wisconsin, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively Low 39.3 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Very High 87.0 |
| Community risk factor | 1.03 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $22 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Oconto County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Wisconsin · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Cold wave: Carbon monoxide in winter · Power outages now
- Lightning: Weather alerts for Wisconsin
- Hail: Weather alerts for Wisconsin
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Oconto County
What natural disasters is Oconto County, Wisconsin most at risk from?
Oconto County, Wisconsin has a Relatively Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 61.5 out of 100, higher than about 61% of US counties, with cold waves, lightning and hail scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $22 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Oconto County had?
OpenFEMA lists 4 federal disaster declarations that included Oconto County since 1973, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4459-WI (Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding, declared 27 August 2019). Another 1 Wisconsin declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Oconto County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 16 tornadoes touching Oconto County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 7 Jun 2007, EF3, 40.1 mi path, 0 killed, 3 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.