Lafayette County, Arkansas: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Lafayette County, Arkansas has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 33.2 out of 100, higher than about 33% of US counties, with ice storms, drought and hail scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $6.9 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 19 federal disaster declarations that included Lafayette County since 1990, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3636-AR (Severe Winter Storm, declared 24 January 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 16 tornadoes touching Lafayette County from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for Arkansas All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 6,303 Buildings worth $1.6 billion Area 552 sq mi Risk rank in Arkansas 61 of 75 FIPS 05073
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ice storm | Very High | 99.3 | $2.6 million | about once every 1.1 years | 64 |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 86.6 | $869,397 | about 27 a year | 791 |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 72.3 | $403,337 | about 5.2 a year | 199 |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | 63.1 | $188,113 | about once every 20 years | 16 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 53.8 | $217,632 | about once every 552 years | — |
| Heat wave | Relatively Low | 49.6 | $236,856 | about 19 a year | 307 |
| Strong wind | Relatively Low | 46.3 | $319,540 | about 5.4 a year | 205 |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 42.7 | $622,680 | about once every 2.3 years | 14 |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 27.4 | $64,236 | about 63 a year | 66,094 strikes |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 21.6 | $5,522 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Inland flooding | Very Low | 16.9 | $1.3 million | about once every 1.1 years | 26 |
| Landslide | Very Low | 15.9 | $46 | about once every 9.3 years | — |
| Winter weather | Very Low | 12.6 | $6,586 | about 3.7 a year | 71 |
| Cold wave | Very Low | 10.8 | $54,686 | about once every 1.3 years | 15 |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 19
Most common: Severe Storm 9, Flood 4, Hurricane 2, Severe Ice Storm 2.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1990s | 5 | Flood ×3, Severe Storm, Snowstorm |
| 2000s | 8 | Severe Storm ×5, Severe Ice Storm ×2, Hurricane |
| 2010s | 2 | Severe Storm ×2 |
| 2020s | 4 | Winter Storm, Flood, Severe Storm, Hurricane |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Lafayette County
- Severe Winter Storm (2026, EM-3636-AR): 75 Arkansas counties designated.
- Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding (2025, EM-3627-AR): 75 Arkansas counties designated.
- Hurricane Laura (2020, EM-3541-AR): 75 Arkansas counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Laura (2020), Tropical Storm Ike (2008), Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Arkansas also had 6 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 16
| Tornadoes touching the county | 16 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F2 ×1 |
| Peak month | April (6) |
| Deadliest | — |
| Longest path | 21 Jan 1999, F1, 11.1 mi path |
| Most recent | 2 Apr 2025, EF1, 7.6 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 0 / 0 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Lafayette County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lafayette County (this page) | — | Very Low | 33.2 | Ice storm |
| Miller County | 28 km | Relatively Low | 70.8 | Hail |
| Columbia County | 35 km | Very Low | 42.1 | Ice storm |
| Nevada County | 55 km | Very Low | 30.6 | Ice storm |
| Hempstead County | 55 km | Relatively Low | 52.1 | Ice storm |
| Bossier Parish, LA | 63 km | Relatively Moderate | 82.5 | Ice storm |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Arkansas, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Very High 86.6 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Very Low 8.5 |
| Community risk factor | 1.61 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $6.9 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Lafayette County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Arkansas · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Ice storm: Power outages now · Carbon monoxide in winter
- Drought: Drought monitor for Arkansas
- Hail: Weather alerts for Arkansas
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Lafayette County
What natural disasters is Lafayette County, Arkansas most at risk from?
Lafayette County, Arkansas has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 33.2 out of 100, higher than about 33% of US counties, with ice storms, drought and hail scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $6.9 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Lafayette County had?
OpenFEMA lists 19 federal disaster declarations that included Lafayette County since 1990, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3636-AR (Severe Winter Storm, declared 24 January 2026). Another 6 Arkansas declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Lafayette County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 16 tornadoes touching Lafayette County from 1950 to 2025.
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.