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FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · OpenFEMA · NOAA SPC · data checked 2 Nov 2026

Arkansas Natural Disaster Risk by County

Of Arkansas's 75 counties, 0 have a Very High natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025); the highest is Pulaski County (score 96.8 of 100), and expected losses across the state total $1.8 billion a year.

OpenFEMA lists 87 federal disaster, emergency and fire management declarations for Arkansas since 1957 (not counting COVID-19); the latest is FM-5676-AR, Bunker Fire, declared 15 September 2026.

Live weather alerts for Arkansas Latest FEMA declarations All official warnings

Most exposed counties, hazard by hazard

Top 10 by FEMA hazard risk score

Hurricane 75 rated

#CountyRatingLoss a year
1Pulaski CountyRelatively Low $607,313
2Chicot CountyRelatively Low $241,440
3Jefferson CountyRelatively Low $236,403
4Ashley CountyRelatively Low $235,430
5Hempstead CountyRelatively Low $239,665
6Desha CountyRelatively Low $181,923
7Lafayette CountyRelatively Low $188,113
8Garland CountyRelatively Low $181,579
9Arkansas CountyRelatively Low $160,231
10Columbia CountyRelatively Low $149,728

Tornado 75 rated

#CountyRatingLoss a year
1Pulaski CountyVery High $42 million
2Craighead CountyRelatively High $18 million
3Faulkner CountyRelatively High $23 million
4Garland CountyRelatively High $12 million
5St. Francis CountyRelatively High $8.6 million
6Washington CountyRelatively High $14 million
7Pope CountyRelatively High $11 million
8Sebastian CountyRelatively High $9.8 million
9Jefferson CountyRelatively High $5.9 million
10White CountyRelatively High $7.3 million

Inland flooding 75 rated

#CountyRatingLoss a year
1Pulaski CountyRelatively High $91 million
2Benton CountyRelatively Moderate $50 million
3Washington CountyRelatively Moderate $42 million
4Garland CountyRelatively Moderate $28 million
5Sebastian CountyRelatively Moderate $25 million
6White CountyRelatively Moderate $18 million
7Craighead CountyRelatively Moderate $15 million
8Jefferson CountyRelatively Moderate $12 million
9Faulkner CountyRelatively Moderate $22 million
10Pope CountyRelatively Moderate $17 million

Wildfire 75 rated

#CountyRatingLoss a year
1Washington CountyRelatively Moderate $3.0 million
2Benton CountyRelatively Moderate $2.6 million
3Crawford CountyRelatively Moderate $1.6 million
4Sebastian CountyRelatively Moderate $1.3 million
5Franklin CountyRelatively Low $327,015
6Polk CountyRelatively Low $355,649
7White CountyRelatively Low $335,476
8Faulkner CountyRelatively Low $403,733
9Cleburne CountyRelatively Low $207,473
10Van Buren CountyRelatively Low $159,851

Earthquake 75 rated

#CountyRatingLoss a year
1Pulaski CountyRelatively High $50 million
2Mississippi CountyRelatively Moderate $32 million
3Craighead CountyRelatively Moderate $36 million
4Crittenden CountyRelatively Moderate $18 million
5White CountyRelatively Moderate $16 million
6Greene CountyRelatively Moderate $14 million
7Jefferson CountyRelatively Moderate $11 million
8Poinsett CountyRelatively Moderate $12 million
9Cross CountyRelatively Moderate $11 million
10Faulkner CountyRelatively Moderate $15 million

Every Arkansas county, highest overall risk first

75

#CountyOverall riskScoreLoss a yearTop hazardDeclarationsTornadoes
1Pulaski County Relatively High96.8 $212 millionIce storm 31101
2Washington County Relatively Moderate92.3 $130 millionIce storm 1837
3Craighead County Relatively Moderate91.8 $90 millionIce storm 2655
4Garland County Relatively Moderate89.3 $57 millionIce storm 1940
5Mississippi County Relatively Moderate89.2 $52 millionDrought 1950
6Benton County Relatively Moderate88.7 $92 millionIce storm 2360
7Sebastian County Relatively Moderate86.8 $58 millionIce storm 1938
8Faulkner County Relatively Moderate86.2 $75 millionIce storm 2660
9White County Relatively Moderate85.7 $51 millionIce storm 2780
10Jefferson County Relatively Moderate85.2 $37 millionIce storm 2338
11Crittenden County Relatively Moderate83.0 $39 millionEarthquake 1916
12Greene County Relatively Low80.2 $34 millionEarthquake 2636
13Pope County Relatively Low77.8 $39 millionIce storm 1728
14Saline County Relatively Low77.6 $41 millionIce storm 2155
15Lonoke County Relatively Low75.1 $41 millionIce storm 2785
16St. Francis County Relatively Low74.7 $19 millionTornado 2025
17Cleburne County Relatively Low72.7 $23 millionIce storm 2130
18Poinsett County Relatively Low72.5 $25 millionEarthquake 3047
19Baxter County Relatively Low72.3 $21 millionIce storm 1922
20Crawford County Relatively Low71.6 $30 millionIce storm 2433
21Clay County Relatively Low71.6 $21 millionDrought 2324
22Miller County Relatively Low70.8 $20 millionHail 1926
23Independence County Relatively Low69.1 $24 millionIce storm 2943
24Sharp County Relatively Low68.1 $16 millionIce storm 2422
25Lawrence County Relatively Low67.9 $19 millionIce storm 2124
26Jackson County Relatively Low67.8 $17 millionIce storm 3360
27Randolph County Relatively Low67.0 $20 millionEarthquake 2521
28Cross County Relatively Low64.9 $20 millionEarthquake 2228
29Sevier County Relatively Low64.9 $14 millionIce storm 1618
30Carroll County Relatively Low64.6 $16 millionIce storm 1916
31Arkansas County Relatively Low63.2 $16 millionEarthquake 1847
32Boone County Relatively Low62.3 $21 millionIce storm 2117
33Phillips County Relatively Low61.7 $14 millionEarthquake 1622
34Yell County Relatively Low58.9 $15 millionIce storm 2034
35Johnson County Relatively Low58.1 $14 millionIce storm 2439
36Conway County Relatively Low56.6 $13 millionIce storm 2741
37Hot Spring County Relatively Low55.5 $14 millionIce storm 1841
38Union County Relatively Low53.9 $13 millionIce storm 1940
39Ashley County Relatively Low53.9 $12 millionIce storm 1339
40Izard County Relatively Low53.1 $10 millionIce storm 2925
41Hempstead County Relatively Low52.1 $12 millionIce storm 2432
42Ouachita County Relatively Low51.2 $10 millionIce storm 2722
43Fulton County Relatively Low50.7 $9.4 millionIce storm 2619
44Van Buren County Relatively Low50.6 $10.0 millionIce storm 2334
45Stone County Relatively Low49.9 $10 millionIce storm 2822
46Franklin County Relatively Low49.4 $9.6 millionIce storm 2533
47Howard County Relatively Low48.5 $9.9 millionIce storm 2032
48Logan County Relatively Low48.2 $12 millionIce storm 2129
49Marion County Relatively Low48.0 $9.8 millionIce storm 2621
50Polk County Relatively Low46.1 $9.8 millionIce storm 2234
51Madison County Relatively Low45.1 $12 millionIce storm 2827
52Little River County Relatively Low44.1 $9.3 millionIce storm 2119
53Chicot County Relatively Low43.8 $8.9 millionDrought 1637
54Woodruff County Very Low42.3 $8.5 millionIce storm 2638
55Columbia County Very Low42.1 $8.6 millionIce storm 2034
56Prairie County Very Low41.4 $9.0 millionEarthquake 2037
57Clark County Very Low41.1 $10 millionLightning 2236
58Lee County Very Low40.4 $7.2 millionEarthquake 1613
59Monroe County Very Low36.5 $7.6 millionEarthquake 2521
60Drew County Very Low35.1 $7.1 millionEarthquake 1821
61Lafayette County Very Low33.2 $6.9 millionIce storm 1916
62Desha County Very Low32.9 $6.5 millionEarthquake 1926
63Bradley County Very Low30.8 $5.8 millionIce storm 2421
64Montgomery County Very Low30.7 $5.7 millionIce storm 2216
65Nevada County Very Low30.6 $5.7 millionIce storm 2423
66Lincoln County Very Low29.8 $6.8 millionDrought 2222
67Perry County Very Low28.1 $7.4 millionIce storm 2319
68Searcy County Very Low27.7 $6.4 millionIce storm 2417
69Scott County Very Low26.8 $7.9 millionIce storm 217
70Pike County Very Low26.6 $6.6 millionIce storm 2123
71Newton County Very Low18.4 $4.0 millionLightning 2816
72Grant County Very Low15.7 $6.1 millionIce storm 1727
73Dallas County Very Low10.1 $3.2 millionIce storm 2029
74Cleveland County Very Low9.5 $2.9 millionIce storm 1911
75Calhoun County Very Low2.3 $2.8 millionIce storm 2118

Score: FEMA's national percentile (higher = more risk). Declarations: federal declarations that named the county since 1953, not counting COVID-19. Tornadoes: NOAA SPC tornadoes that touched the county, 1950–2025.

Latest federal declarations in Arkansas

Bunker Fire FM-5676-AR · Fire · declared 15 Sep 2026 · 2 counties
Pine Tree Road Fire FM-5673-AR · Fire · declared 21 Aug 2026 · 1 county
Severe Winter Storm EM-3636-AR · Winter Storm · declared 24 Jan 2026 · 75 counties
Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding DR-4873-AR · Flood · declared 21 May 2025 · 41 counties
Severe Storms and Tornadoes DR-4865-AR · Severe Storm · declared 8 May 2025 · 9 counties
Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding EM-3627-AR · Severe Storm · declared 5 Apr 2025 · 75 counties
Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding DR-4788-AR · Severe Storm · declared 30 May 2024 · 11 counties
Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes DR-4748-AR · Severe Storm · declared 14 Nov 2023 · 4 counties

Other states and territories

Alabama Alaska Arizona California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming American Samoa Guam Northern Mariana Islands U.S. Virgin Islands

What this page shows, and what it misses

FEMA's National Risk Index compares every US county with every other for 18 natural hazards, combining expected losses with social vulnerability and community resilience. It is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not the risk to any one property — for flood zones use FEMA's Flood Map Service Center ↗. Federal declarations exclude state declarations and SBA or USDA designations.

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.

Questions about Arkansas

Which county in Arkansas has the highest natural disaster risk?

Of Arkansas's 75 counties, 0 have a Very High natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025); the highest is Pulaski County (score 96.8 of 100), and expected losses across the state total $1.8 billion a year.

Which Arkansas counties are most at risk from tornadoes?

By FEMA's National Risk Index tornado risk score: Pulaski County, Craighead County, Faulkner County. These are planning-level estimates for whole counties, not maps of individual properties.

Which Arkansas counties are most at risk from hurricanes?

By FEMA's National Risk Index hurricane risk score: Pulaski County, Chicot County, Jefferson County. These are planning-level estimates for whole counties, not maps of individual properties.

How many FEMA disaster declarations has Arkansas had?

OpenFEMA lists 87 federal disaster, emergency and fire management declarations for Arkansas since 1957 (not counting COVID-19); the latest is FM-5676-AR, Bunker Fire, declared 15 September 2026.