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FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · OpenFEMA · NOAA SPC · data checked 2 Nov 2026

North Dakota Natural Disaster Risk by County

Of North Dakota's 53 counties, 0 have a Very High natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025); the highest is Burleigh County (score 85.1 of 100), and expected losses across the state total $565 million a year.

OpenFEMA lists 73 federal disaster, emergency and fire management declarations for North Dakota since 1957 (not counting COVID-19); the latest is DR-4934-ND, Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes, declared 1 September 2026.

Live weather alerts for North Dakota Latest FEMA declarations All official warnings

Most exposed counties, hazard by hazard

Top 10 by FEMA hazard risk score

Tornado 53 rated

#CountyRatingLoss a year
1Cass CountyRelatively Moderate $12 million
2Burleigh CountyRelatively Moderate $6.0 million
3Ward CountyRelatively Moderate $3.4 million
4Grand Forks CountyRelatively Low $2.3 million
5Morton CountyRelatively Low $2.5 million
6Williams CountyRelatively Low $1.9 million
7Richland CountyRelatively Low $1.4 million
8Stark CountyRelatively Low $1.4 million
9Stutsman CountyRelatively Low $1.2 million
10McLean CountyRelatively Low $1.3 million

Inland flooding 53 rated

#CountyRatingLoss a year
1Cass CountyRelatively Moderate $34 million
2Burleigh CountyRelatively Moderate $23 million
3Grand Forks CountyRelatively Low $12 million
4Williams CountyRelatively Low $7.6 million
5Ward CountyRelatively Low $7.9 million
6Barnes CountyRelatively Low $4.4 million
7Morton CountyRelatively Low $7.9 million
8Walsh CountyRelatively Low $5.3 million
9McLean CountyVery Low $4.6 million
10Emmons CountyVery Low $3.0 million

Wildfire 53 rated

#CountyRatingLoss a year
1Rolette CountyRelatively Moderate $3.3 million
2Emmons CountyRelatively Moderate $1.9 million
3McHenry CountyRelatively Low $1.3 million
4Bottineau CountyRelatively Low $733,102
5Burleigh CountyRelatively Low $827,123
6Dunn CountyRelatively Low $607,617
7Sioux CountyRelatively Low $236,173
8Benson CountyRelatively Low $251,334
9Ramsey CountyRelatively Low $514,094
10Ward CountyRelatively Low $578,417

Earthquake 53 rated

#CountyRatingLoss a year
1Cass CountyVery Low $68,911
2Hettinger CountyVery Low $29,750
3Burleigh CountyVery Low $36,844
4Williams CountyVery Low $33,249
5Emmons CountyVery Low $18,748
6Stark CountyVery Low $25,827
7Rolette CountyVery Low $10,128
8McLean CountyVery Low $19,532
9Richland CountyVery Low $17,409
10Grand Forks CountyVery Low $16,834

Every North Dakota county, highest overall risk first

53

#CountyOverall riskScoreLoss a yearTop hazardDeclarationsTornadoes
1Burleigh County Relatively Moderate85.1 $72 millionWinter weather 2060
2Cass County Relatively Moderate82.4 $82 millionWinter weather 33106
3Ward County Relatively Low64.8 $37 millionWinter weather 2655
4Sioux County Relatively Low62.1 $12 millionCold wave 2017
5Grand Forks County Relatively Low57.7 $25 millionWinter weather 3691
6Williams County Relatively Low53.7 $25 millionWinter weather 1826
7Rolette County Relatively Low52.9 $11 millionWildfire 2317
8Morton County Relatively Low49.6 $26 millionHail 2554
9Stutsman County Relatively Low46.4 $16 millionWinter weather 2958
10Barnes County Relatively Low45.9 $13 millionWinter weather 3368
11Emmons County Relatively Low44.3 $12 millionWildfire 2443
12McLean County Relatively Low43.1 $16 millionWinter weather 2349
13Stark County Very Low37.3 $14 millionWinter weather 1426
14Richland County Very Low35.3 $13 millionWinter weather 3560
15McIntosh County Very Low35.2 $7.8 millionCold wave 1922
16Walsh County Very Low29.0 $12 millionWinter weather 3954
17McKenzie County Very Low25.0 $12 millionWinter weather 2223
18Benson County Very Low24.3 $5.0 millionWinter weather 2950
19Mountrail County Very Low21.4 $7.4 millionWinter weather 2531
20Pembina County Very Low20.9 $6.4 millionWinter weather 3641
21Bottineau County Very Low18.7 $7.4 millionWinter weather 2634
22Ramsey County Very Low18.3 $8.6 millionWinter weather 2751
23Dickey County Very Low15.8 $6.1 millionWinter weather 3035
24Grant County Very Low14.8 $4.5 millionHail 2527
25Mercer County Very Low13.9 $7.8 millionWinter weather 2322
26Ransom County Very Low13.2 $6.5 millionIce storm 3435
27Golden Valley County Very Low13.1 $4.8 millionCold wave 119
28Cavalier County Very Low11.8 $4.5 millionWinter weather 2443
29McHenry County Very Low11.7 $7.3 millionWinter weather 3037
30Traill County Very Low11.0 $8.2 millionHail 3433
31LaMoure County Very Low10.9 $5.7 millionWinter weather 3139
32Dunn County Very Low10.8 $4.8 millionHail 1626
33Logan County Very Low9.9 $3.8 millionCold wave 2419
34Hettinger County Very Low9.2 $3.9 millionWinter weather 1720
35Wells County Very Low8.6 $4.2 millionWinter weather 2727
36Nelson County Very Low7.9 $3.0 millionHail 3141
37Sargent County Very Low7.4 $5.5 millionHail 3026
38Foster County Very Low7.4 $3.9 millionWinter weather 2117
39Steele County Very Low6.6 $4.3 millionStrong wind 2945
40Divide County Very Low5.8 $2.7 millionWinter weather 1512
41Griggs County Very Low5.1 $3.1 millionIce storm 2139
42Sheridan County Very Low5.0 $4.2 millionHail 2024
43Adams County Very Low4.5 $2.2 millionHail 1314
44Pierce County Very Low3.2 $3.4 millionWinter weather 2117
45Kidder County Very Low3.1 $3.4 millionWinter weather 2424
46Bowman County Very Low2.1 $2.7 millionWinter weather 1113
47Towner County Very Low2.0 $2.7 millionIce storm 2633
48Eddy County Very Low1.8 $2.6 millionIce storm 2220
49Oliver County Very Low1.7 $2.6 millionWildfire 2012
50Renville County Very Low1.5 $2.4 millionWinter weather 2325
51Burke County Very Low1.0 $2.0 millionWinter weather 2027
52Billings County Very Low0.9 $1.7 millionWildfire 107
53Slope County Very Low0.6 $1.1 millionWildfire 811

Score: FEMA's national percentile (higher = more risk). Declarations: federal declarations that named the county since 1953, not counting COVID-19. Tornadoes: NOAA SPC tornadoes that touched the county, 1950–2025.

Latest federal declarations in North Dakota

Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes DR-4934-ND · Severe Storm · declared 1 Sep 2026 · 7 counties
Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes DR-4895-ND · Severe Storm · declared 22 Oct 2025 · 7 counties
Severe Storm, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line Winds DR-4888-ND · Severe Storm · declared 11 Sep 2025 · 19 counties
Wildfires and Straight-Line Winds DR-4852-ND · Fire · declared 24 Dec 2024 · 2 counties
Elk Horn Fire FM-5541-ND · Fire · declared 6 Oct 2024 · 1 county
Bear Den Fire FM-5540-ND · Fire · declared 6 Oct 2024 · 1 county
Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds DR-4760-ND · Winter Storm · declared 15 Feb 2024 · 13 counties
Flooding DR-4717-ND · Flood · declared 5 Jul 2023 · 21 counties

Other states and territories

Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming American Samoa Guam Northern Mariana Islands U.S. Virgin Islands

What this page shows, and what it misses

FEMA's National Risk Index compares every US county with every other for 18 natural hazards, combining expected losses with social vulnerability and community resilience. It is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not the risk to any one property — for flood zones use FEMA's Flood Map Service Center ↗. Federal declarations exclude state declarations and SBA or USDA designations.

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.

Questions about North Dakota

Which county in North Dakota has the highest natural disaster risk?

Of North Dakota's 53 counties, 0 have a Very High natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025); the highest is Burleigh County (score 85.1 of 100), and expected losses across the state total $565 million a year.

Which North Dakota counties are most at risk from tornadoes?

By FEMA's National Risk Index tornado risk score: Cass County, Burleigh County, Ward County. These are planning-level estimates for whole counties, not maps of individual properties.

Which North Dakota counties are most at risk from inland flooding?

By FEMA's National Risk Index inland flooding risk score: Cass County, Burleigh County, Grand Forks County. These are planning-level estimates for whole counties, not maps of individual properties.

How many FEMA disaster declarations has North Dakota had?

OpenFEMA lists 73 federal disaster, emergency and fire management declarations for North Dakota since 1957 (not counting COVID-19); the latest is DR-4934-ND, Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes, declared 1 September 2026.