Grant County, North Dakota: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Grant County, North Dakota has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 14.8 out of 100, higher than about 14% of US counties, with hail, cold waves and winter storms scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $4.5 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 25 federal disaster declarations that included Grant County since 1966, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4888-ND (Severe Storm, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line Winds, declared 11 September 2025). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 27 tornadoes touching Grant County from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for North Dakota All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 2,299 Buildings worth $1.3 billion Area 1,683 sq mi Risk rank in North Dakota 24 of 53 FIPS 38037
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 81.9 | $758,375 | about 2.8 a year | 106 |
| Cold wave | Relatively Moderate | 77.1 | $2.3 million | about 13 a year | 250 |
| Winter weather | Relatively Moderate | 72.7 | $114,699 | about 2 a year | 375 |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 65.4 | $93,882 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Ice storm | Relatively Moderate | 61.6 | $110,980 | about once every 1.1 years | 60 |
| Strong wind | Relatively Low | 24.2 | $173,033 | about 1.9 a year | 73 |
| Drought | Very Low | 21.8 | $4,675 | about 21 a year | 539 |
| Lightning | Very Low | 20.1 | $52,470 | about 32 a year | 41,386 strikes |
| Tornado | Very Low | 17.4 | $142,169 | about once every 2.5 years | 11 |
| Landslide | Very Low | 14.2 | $43 | about once every 2.6 years | — |
| Heat wave | Very Low | 10.3 | $14,701 | about 1.9 a year | 30 |
| Inland flooding | Very Low | 6.7 | $728,876 | about once every 3.5 years | 8 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 3.8 | $2,866 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 25
Most common: Severe Storm 10, Flood 10, Winter Storm 1, Coastal Storm 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1960s | 2 | Flood ×2 |
| 1970s | 5 | Flood ×2, Tornado, Snowstorm, Drought |
| 1980s | 1 | Flood |
| 1990s | 4 | Flood ×2, Severe Storm ×2 |
| 2000s | 4 | Severe Storm ×2, Coastal Storm, Flood |
| 2010s | 5 | Severe Storm ×3, Flood ×2 |
| 2020s | 4 | Severe Storm ×3, Winter Storm |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Grant County
- Hurricane Katrina Evacuation (2005, EM-3247-ND): 53 North Dakota counties designated.
- Severe Flooding,severe Winter Storms, Snowmelt, Spring Rains (1997, DR-1174-ND): 53 North Dakota counties designated.
- Severe Winter Storms and Blizzard Conditions (1997, DR-1157-ND): 53 North Dakota counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. North Dakota also had 2 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 27
| Tornadoes touching the county | 27 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F4 ×2 |
| Peak month | June (15) |
| Deadliest | 4 Jul 1978, F4, 26 mi path, 5 killed, 35 injured |
| Longest path | 29 Jun 1975, F4, 68 mi path, 1 killed, 4 injured |
| Most recent | 26 Jul 2016, EF0, 0.1 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 6 / 40 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Grant County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant County (this page) | — | Very Low | 14.8 | Hail |
| Morton County | 48 km | Relatively Low | 49.6 | Hail |
| Sioux County | 53 km | Relatively Low | 62.1 | Cold wave |
| Hettinger County | 63 km | Very Low | 9.2 | Winter weather |
| Adams County | 74 km | Very Low | 4.5 | Hail |
| Corson County, SD | 79 km | Very Low | 38.1 | Cold wave |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in North Dakota, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively High 72.8 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Relatively Low 30.0 |
| Community risk factor | 1.37 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $4.5 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Grant County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for North Dakota · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Hail: Weather alerts for North Dakota
- Cold wave: Carbon monoxide in winter · Power outages now
- Winter weather: Power outages now · Carbon monoxide in winter
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Grant County
What natural disasters is Grant County, North Dakota most at risk from?
Grant County, North Dakota has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 14.8 out of 100, higher than about 14% of US counties, with hail, cold waves and winter storms scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $4.5 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Grant County had?
OpenFEMA lists 25 federal disaster declarations that included Grant County since 1966, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4888-ND (Severe Storm, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line Winds, declared 11 September 2025). Another 2 North Dakota declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Grant County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 27 tornadoes touching Grant County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 4 Jul 1978, F4, 26 mi path, 5 killed, 35 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.