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FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · OpenFEMA · NOAA SPC · data checked 2 Nov 2026

Crittenden County, Arkansas: Natural Disaster Risk and History

Crittenden County, Arkansas has a Relatively Moderate natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 83.0 out of 100, higher than about 83% of US counties, with earthquakes, ice storms and heat waves scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $39 million a year in expected losses.

OpenFEMA lists 19 federal disaster declarations that included Crittenden County since 1973, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3636-AR (Severe Winter Storm, declared 24 January 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 16 tornadoes touching Crittenden County from 1950 to 2025.

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Population 48,103 Buildings worth $8.9 billion Area 651 sq mi Risk rank in Arkansas 11 of 75 FIPS 05035

All 18 hazards, highest risk first

FEMA National Risk Index
HazardRisk ratingScoreExpected loss a yearHow oftenEvents in record
EarthquakeRelatively Moderate 96.4 $18 million about once every 104 years —
Ice stormRelatively High 92.9 $969,125 about 1.4 a year 92
Heat waveRelatively Moderate 89.3 $2.3 million about 23 a year 364
DroughtRelatively Moderate 83.8 $914,973 about 7.9 a year 294
Cold waveRelatively Moderate 75.8 $2.2 million about 1.6 a year 31
TornadoRelatively Moderate 73.3 $2.2 million about once every 2.3 years 14
Inland floodingRelatively Low 72.4 $11 million about once a year 28
LightningRelatively Moderate 62.9 $291,287 about 6 a year 129,678 strikes
HurricaneVery Low 47.3 $44,835 about once every 62 years 6
Winter weatherRelatively Low 45.5 $43,004 about 5.7 a year 108
Strong windRelatively Low 41.1 $333,531 about 1.4 a year 55
LandslideVery Low 39.8 $505 about once every 2.9 years —
HailRelatively Low 34.6 $112,040 about 3 a year 113
WildfireVery Low 5.8 $1,446 rarer than once in 1,000 years —
AvalancheNot Applicable — — — —
Coastal floodingNot Applicable — — — —
TsunamiNot Applicable — — — —
Volcanic activityNot Applicable — — — —

Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.

Federal disaster declarations 19

Most common: Severe Storm 5, Flood 4, Severe Ice Storm 3, Tornado 3.

DecadeDeclarationsIncident types
1970s2Flood ×2
1980s4Tornado ×3, Flood
1990s1Snowstorm
2000s7Severe Ice Storm ×3, Severe Storm ×3, Hurricane
2010s1Severe Storm
2020s4Winter Storm, Flood, Severe Storm, Hurricane

The last 10

Severe Winter Storm EM-3636-AR · Winter Storm · declared 24 Jan 2026
Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding DR-4873-AR · Flood · declared 21 May 2025 · households could apply
Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding EM-3627-AR · Severe Storm · declared 5 Apr 2025
Hurricane Laura EM-3541-AR · Hurricane · declared 27 Aug 2020
Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Associated Flooding DR-1975-AR · Severe Storm · declared 2 May 2011 · households could apply
Severe Winter Storm EM-3301-AR · Severe Ice Storm · declared 28 Jan 2009
Severe Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes DR-1758-AR · Severe Storm · declared 20 May 2008 · households could apply
Hurricane Katrina Evacuation EM-3215-AR · Hurricane · declared 2 Sep 2005
Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding DR-1472-AR · Severe Storm · declared 6 Jun 2003 · households could apply
Severe Storms and Flooding DR-1400-AR · Severe Storm · declared 24 Jan 2002

Widest declarations that included Crittenden County

  • Severe Winter Storm (2026, EM-3636-AR): 75 Arkansas counties designated.
  • Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding (2025, EM-3627-AR): 75 Arkansas counties designated.
  • Hurricane Laura (2020, EM-3541-AR): 75 Arkansas counties designated.

Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Laura (2020), Hurricane Katrina (2005).

Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Arkansas also had 6 statewide declarations with no county list.

Tornado record since 1950 16

Tornadoes touching the county16
Strongest-rated(E)F3 ×2
Peak monthApril (6)
Deadliest3 Apr 1968, F2, 14.9 mi path, 0 killed, 15 injured
Longest path2 Apr 2006, F3, 38 mi path, 0 killed, 5 injured
Most recent5 Apr 2025, EF1, 5.7 mi path
Deaths / injuries on those paths0 / 28
Rating(E)F0(E)F1(E)F2(E)F3(E)F4(E)F5Unrated
Count7522000
Decade1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Count01324222

Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.

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How Crittenden County compares with its 5 nearest counties

CountyDistanceOverall riskScoreTop hazard
Crittenden County (this page)—Relatively Moderate83.0 Earthquake
Shelby County, TN 38 kmRelatively High99.4 Cold wave
Cross County 43 kmRelatively Low64.9 Earthquake
St. Francis County 45 kmRelatively Low74.7 Tornado
DeSoto County, MS 47 kmRelatively Moderate89.0 Tornado
Poinsett County 52 kmRelatively Low72.5 Earthquake

Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Arkansas, ranked.

Vulnerability and resilience

Social vulnerabilityRelatively High 70.8
Community resilienceRelatively Low 39.3
Community risk factor1.34
Expected annual loss, all hazards$39 million

FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.

Prepare for Crittenden County's main hazards

What this page shows, and what it misses

FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.

Questions about Crittenden County

What natural disasters is Crittenden County, Arkansas most at risk from?

Crittenden County, Arkansas has a Relatively Moderate natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 83.0 out of 100, higher than about 83% of US counties, with earthquakes, ice storms and heat waves scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $39 million a year in expected losses.

How many federal disaster declarations has Crittenden County had?

OpenFEMA lists 19 federal disaster declarations that included Crittenden County since 1973, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3636-AR (Severe Winter Storm, declared 24 January 2026). Another 6 Arkansas declarations were made statewide without a county list.

How many tornadoes have hit Crittenden County?

NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 16 tornadoes touching Crittenden County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 3 Apr 1968, F2, 14.9 mi path, 0 killed, 15 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).

Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?

No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.