Lincoln County, Georgia: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Lincoln County, Georgia has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 5.5 out of 100, higher than about 5% of US counties, with ice storms, hurricanes and earthquakes scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $2.8 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 11 federal disaster declarations that included Lincoln County since 1977, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3642-GA (Severe Winter Storm, declared 24 January 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 9 tornadoes touching Lincoln County from 1950 to 2025.
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Population 7,683 Buildings worth $1.8 billion Area 260 sq mi Risk rank in Georgia 148 of 159 FIPS 13181
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ice storm | Relatively Moderate | 63.4 | $134,972 | about 1.1 a year | 73 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 54.5 | $101,419 | about once every 17 years | 20 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 44.9 | $178,329 | about once every 377 years | — |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 39.0 | $21,075 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 33.9 | $557,841 | about once every 6.3 years | 10 |
| Hail | Very Low | 26.9 | $89,241 | about 3.4 a year | 128 |
| Heat wave | Very Low | 22.2 | $64,770 | about 3.3 a year | 54 |
| Strong wind | Very Low | 16.9 | $127,796 | about 3.6 a year | 135 |
| Cold wave | Very Low | 14.2 | $122,532 | about once every 4.7 years | 4 |
| Landslide | Very Low | 13.5 | $44 | about once every 7.1 years | — |
| Inland flooding | Very Low | 12.7 | $1.4 million | about once every 9.3 years | 3 |
| Lightning | Very Low | 9.4 | $27,371 | about 57 a year | 25,277 strikes |
| Winter weather | Very Low | 3.3 | $1,951 | about 1.8 a year | 35 |
| Drought | No Rating | 0.0 | — | about 61 a year | 1,701 |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 11
Most common: Hurricane 5, Winter Storm 1, Tropical Storm 1, Severe Ice Storm 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1970s | 1 | Drought |
| 1990s | 2 | Severe Storm, Tornado |
| 2000s | 1 | Hurricane |
| 2010s | 4 | Hurricane ×3, Severe Ice Storm |
| 2020s | 3 | Winter Storm, Hurricane, Tropical Storm |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Lincoln County
- Hurricane Helene (2024, EM-3616-GA): 159 Georgia counties designated.
- Hurricane Irma (2017, DR-4338-GA): 159 Georgia counties designated.
- Hurricane Irma (2017, EM-3387-GA): 159 Georgia counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Helene (2024), Hurricane Michael (2018), Hurricane Irma (2017), Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Georgia also had 6 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 9
| Tornadoes touching the county | 9 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F2 ×2 |
| Peak month | May (5) |
| Deadliest | 7 May 1998, F2, 1 mi path, 0 killed, 8 injured |
| Longest path | 6 May 2003, F0, 3 mi path |
| Most recent | 28 Apr 2013, EF0, 1.2 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 0 / 8 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Lincoln County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln County (this page) | — | Very Low | 5.5 | Ice storm |
| McCormick County, SC | 18 km | Very Low | 9.5 | Hurricane |
| Wilkes County | 27 km | Very Low | 12.9 | Hurricane |
| Columbia County | 33 km | Relatively Low | 76.8 | Tornado |
| McDuffie County | 35 km | Very Low | 25.0 | Hail |
| Edgefield County, SC | 45 km | Very Low | 22.0 | Hurricane |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Georgia, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively Moderate 53.9 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Very Low 11.0 |
| Community risk factor | 1.20 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $2.8 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Lincoln County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Georgia · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Ice storm: Power outages now · Carbon monoxide in winter
- Hurricane: Is there a hurricane now? · Cyclone preparation
- Earthquake: Earthquakes today · Earthquake safety guide
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Lincoln County
What natural disasters is Lincoln County, Georgia most at risk from?
Lincoln County, Georgia has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 5.5 out of 100, higher than about 5% of US counties, with ice storms, hurricanes and earthquakes scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $2.8 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Lincoln County had?
OpenFEMA lists 11 federal disaster declarations that included Lincoln County since 1977, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3642-GA (Severe Winter Storm, declared 24 January 2026). Another 6 Georgia declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Lincoln County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 9 tornadoes touching Lincoln County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 7 May 1998, F2, 1 mi path, 0 killed, 8 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.