Scott County, Iowa: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Scott County, Iowa has a Relatively Moderate natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 84.9 out of 100, higher than about 84% of US counties, with strong winds, hail and inland (river and flash) flooding scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $66 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 18 federal disaster declarations that included Scott County since 1965, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4796-IA (Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes, declared 24 June 2024). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 64 tornadoes touching Scott County from 1950 to 2025.
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Population 174,636 Buildings worth $44 billion Area 473 sq mi Risk rank in Iowa 4 of 99 FIPS 19163
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong wind | Relatively High | 96.4 | $4.3 million | about 6.3 a year | 238 |
| Hail | Relatively High | 96.1 | $4.2 million | about 4 a year | 151 |
| Inland flooding | Relatively Moderate | 88.4 | $40 million | about 3.5 a year | 97 |
| Winter weather | Relatively High | 88.2 | $432,220 | about 16 a year | 298 |
| Heat wave | Relatively Moderate | 86.9 | $2.8 million | about 7.2 a year | 110 |
| Ice storm | Relatively High | 85.2 | $738,827 | about once every 1.6 years | 43 |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 83.5 | $1.0 million | about 43 a year | 246,125 strikes |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | 83.3 | $1.4 million | about 9.3 a year | 259 |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | 82.9 | $5.5 million | about once every 2.3 years | 46 |
| Cold wave | Relatively Moderate | 80.7 | $4.6 million | about 6.5 a year | 124 |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 75.1 | $1.4 million | about once every 971 years | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 71.0 | $7,886 | about once every 8.1 years | — |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 52.2 | $63,518 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 17.4 | $5,772 | about once every 174 years | 2 |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 18
Most common: Flood 11, Severe Storm 6, Hurricane 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1960s | 3 | Flood ×3 |
| 1970s | 2 | Flood ×2 |
| 1990s | 4 | Flood ×3, Severe Storm |
| 2000s | 5 | Severe Storm ×3, Hurricane, Flood |
| 2010s | 1 | Flood |
| 2020s | 3 | Severe Storm ×2, Flood |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Scott County
- Hurricane Katrina Evacuation (2005, EM-3239-IA): 99 Iowa counties designated.
- Severe Storms & Flooding (1993, DR-996-IA): 99 Iowa counties designated.
- Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding (2008, DR-1763-IA): 85 Iowa counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Iowa also had 7 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 64
| Tornadoes touching the county | 64 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F3 ×5 |
| Peak month | May (27) |
| Deadliest | 14 Jun 2001, F2, 6.5 mi path, 0 killed, 3 injured |
| Longest path | 3 Apr 1981, F0, 103.5 mi path |
| Most recent | 11 Jul 2025, EF2, 7.6 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 0 / 7 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 25 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 10 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Scott County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott County (this page) | — | Relatively Moderate | 84.9 | Strong wind |
| Rock Island County, IL | 19 km | Relatively Moderate | 84.1 | Cold wave |
| Clinton County | 30 km | Relatively Low | 64.8 | Strong wind |
| Muscatine County | 44 km | Relatively Low | 57.8 | Hail |
| Cedar County | 45 km | Very Low | 21.5 | Drought |
| Mercer County, IL | 49 km | Very Low | 8.8 | Drought |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Iowa, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Very Low 19.1 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Very High 95.9 |
| Community risk factor | 0.87 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $66 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Scott County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Iowa · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Strong wind: Power outages now
- Hail: Weather alerts for Iowa
- Inland flooding: Flood safety: why shallow water kills · Floods recorded
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Scott County
What natural disasters is Scott County, Iowa most at risk from?
Scott County, Iowa has a Relatively Moderate natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 84.9 out of 100, higher than about 84% of US counties, with strong winds, hail and inland (river and flash) flooding scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $66 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Scott County had?
OpenFEMA lists 18 federal disaster declarations that included Scott County since 1965, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4796-IA (Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes, declared 24 June 2024). Another 7 Iowa declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Scott County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 64 tornadoes touching Scott County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 14 Jun 2001, F2, 6.5 mi path, 0 killed, 3 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.