Chautauqua County, Kansas: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Chautauqua County, Kansas has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 12.1 out of 100, higher than about 12% of US counties, with wildfires, landslides and ice storms scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $4.9 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 14 federal disaster declarations that included Chautauqua County since 1973, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4869-KS (Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Wildfires, declared 21 May 2025). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 23 tornadoes touching Chautauqua County from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for Kansas All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 3,379 Buildings worth $1.5 billion Area 651 sq mi Risk rank in Kansas 81 of 105 FIPS 20019
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Moderate | 90.9 | $1.4 million | about once every 117 years | — |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 66.5 | $4,000 | about once every 4.7 years | — |
| Ice storm | Relatively Low | 54.2 | $94,560 | about once every 1.5 years | 46 |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 44.3 | $959,744 | about once every 1.8 years | 14 |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 44.0 | $88,060 | about 57 a year | 1,449 |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 36.7 | $146,551 | about 8.5 a year | 322 |
| Heat wave | Very Low | 32.4 | $143,073 | about 16 a year | 201 |
| Winter weather | Relatively Low | 30.7 | $28,480 | about 8.8 a year | 167 |
| Strong wind | Relatively Low | 27.0 | $241,242 | about 6.9 a year | 261 |
| Cold wave | Relatively Low | 26.7 | $333,805 | about 1.3 a year | 25 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 19.0 | $24,266 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 16.2 | $3,876 | about once every 100 years | 0 |
| Inland flooding | Very Low | 11.8 | $1.4 million | about once a year | 27 |
| Lightning | Very Low | 7.4 | $21,848 | about 52 a year | 42,703 strikes |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 14
Most common: Severe Storm 10, Flood 2, Hurricane 1, Severe Ice Storm 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1970s | 1 | Flood |
| 1980s | 1 | Flood |
| 2000s | 7 | Severe Storm ×5, Hurricane, Severe Ice Storm |
| 2010s | 3 | Severe Storm ×3 |
| 2020s | 2 | Severe Storm ×2 |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Chautauqua County
- Severe Winter Storms (2007, EM-3282-KS): 105 Kansas counties designated.
- Hurricane Katrina Evacuation (2005, EM-3236-KS): 105 Kansas counties designated.
- Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding,landslides,and Mudslides (2019, DR-4449-KS): 70 Kansas counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Kansas also had 4 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 23
| Tornadoes touching the county | 23 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F2 ×1 |
| Peak month | April (10) |
| Deadliest | — |
| Longest path | 16 May 1957, F2, 39.3 mi path |
| Most recent | 6 May 2024, unrated |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 0 / 0 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Chautauqua County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chautauqua County (this page) | — | Very Low | 12.1 | Wildfire |
| Elk County | 34 km | Very Low | 14.6 | Wildfire |
| Montgomery County | 45 km | Relatively Low | 73.4 | Tornado |
| Cowley County | 53 km | Relatively Low | 69.1 | Wildfire |
| Washington County, OK | 57 km | Relatively Low | 76.1 | Ice storm |
| Osage County, OK | 59 km | Relatively Low | 78.1 | Ice storm |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Kansas, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively Moderate 45.5 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Very Low 10.1 |
| Community risk factor | 1.12 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $4.9 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Chautauqua County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Kansas · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Wildfire: US wildfires now · Wildfire smoke: what protects you
- Landslide: Landslides recorded
- Ice storm: Power outages now · Carbon monoxide in winter
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Chautauqua County
What natural disasters is Chautauqua County, Kansas most at risk from?
Chautauqua County, Kansas has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 12.1 out of 100, higher than about 12% of US counties, with wildfires, landslides and ice storms scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $4.9 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Chautauqua County had?
OpenFEMA lists 14 federal disaster declarations that included Chautauqua County since 1973, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4869-KS (Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Wildfires, declared 21 May 2025). Another 4 Kansas declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Chautauqua County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 23 tornadoes touching Chautauqua County from 1950 to 2025.
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.