Ellsworth County, Kansas: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Ellsworth County, Kansas has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 15.2 out of 100, higher than about 15% of US counties, with ice storms, wildfires and hail scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $7.1 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 17 federal disaster declarations that included Ellsworth County since 1969, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4811-KS (Severe Storm, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, declared 20 August 2024). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 50 tornadoes touching Ellsworth County from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for Kansas All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 6,367 Buildings worth $2.8 billion Area 731 sq mi Risk rank in Kansas 70 of 105 FIPS 20053
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ice storm | Relatively High | 82.2 | $577,455 | about once every 1.1 years | 63 |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 77.4 | $370,770 | about once every 585 years | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 69.1 | $626,025 | about 9.9 a year | 375 |
| Winter weather | Relatively Low | 60.4 | $107,148 | about 13 a year | 248 |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 54.1 | $230,187 | about 42 a year | 1,085 |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 51.3 | $1.5 million | about once every 1.3 years | 36 |
| Strong wind | Relatively Low | 41.8 | $505,847 | about 6.2 a year | 236 |
| Cold wave | Relatively Low | 35.8 | $642,424 | about 2.9 a year | 55 |
| Heat wave | Very Low | 34.9 | $207,117 | about 9.2 a year | 128 |
| Inland flooding | Very Low | 16.1 | $2.3 million | about once every 1.2 years | 24 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 14.3 | $17,706 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 10.4 | $34 | about once every 5.7 years | — |
| Lightning | Very Low | 8.7 | $32,805 | about 46 a year | 62,730 strikes |
| Hurricane | No Rating | 0.0 | — | — | 0 |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 17
Most common: Severe Storm 11, Flood 2, Fire 1, Severe Ice Storm 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1960s | 1 | Tornado |
| 1970s | 2 | Severe Storm, Flood |
| 1990s | 1 | Flood |
| 2000s | 5 | Severe Storm ×4, Hurricane |
| 2010s | 6 | Severe Storm ×4, Fire, Severe Ice Storm |
| 2020s | 2 | Severe Storm ×2 |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Ellsworth County
- Severe Winter Storms (2007, EM-3282-KS): 105 Kansas counties designated.
- Hurricane Katrina Evacuation (2005, EM-3236-KS): 105 Kansas counties designated.
- Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding,landslides,and Mudslides (2019, DR-4449-KS): 70 Kansas counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Kansas also had 4 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 50
| Tornadoes touching the county | 50 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F4 ×1 |
| Peak month | May (23) |
| Deadliest | 24 May 1990, F3, 26 mi path, 0 killed, 6 injured |
| Longest path | 14 Apr 2012, EF4, 50.3 mi path |
| Most recent | 1 Apr 2025, unrated |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 0 / 7 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 29 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 2 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Ellsworth County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellsworth County (this page) | — | Very Low | 15.2 | Ice storm |
| Lincoln County | 39 km | Very Low | 13.5 | Hail |
| Rice County | 39 km | Very Low | 28.5 | Hail |
| Saline County | 49 km | Relatively Low | 66.2 | Winter weather |
| Barton County | 54 km | Relatively Low | 60.3 | Hail |
| Russell County | 54 km | Very Low | 12.5 | Ice storm |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Kansas, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively Low 20.2 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Relatively Moderate 50.5 |
| Community risk factor | 0.89 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $7.1 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Ellsworth County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Kansas · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Ice storm: Power outages now · Carbon monoxide in winter
- Wildfire: US wildfires now · Wildfire smoke: what protects you
- Hail: Weather alerts for Kansas
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Ellsworth County
What natural disasters is Ellsworth County, Kansas most at risk from?
Ellsworth County, Kansas has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 15.2 out of 100, higher than about 15% of US counties, with ice storms, wildfires and hail scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $7.1 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Ellsworth County had?
OpenFEMA lists 17 federal disaster declarations that included Ellsworth County since 1969, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4811-KS (Severe Storm, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, declared 20 August 2024). Another 4 Kansas declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Ellsworth County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 50 tornadoes touching Ellsworth County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 24 May 1990, F3, 26 mi path, 0 killed, 6 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.