Greene County, Missouri: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Greene County, Missouri has a Relatively Moderate natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 90.1 out of 100, higher than about 90% of US counties, with ice storms, heat waves and winter storms scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $97 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 25 federal disaster declarations that included Greene County since 1974, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4924-MO (Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding, declared 30 June 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 58 tornadoes touching Greene County from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for Missouri All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 298,522 Buildings worth $64 billion Area 685 sq mi Risk rank in Missouri 6 of 115 FIPS 29077
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ice storm | Very High | 99.5 | $5.4 million | about 1.2 a year | 80 |
| Heat wave | Relatively High | 98.1 | $17 million | about 13 a year | 202 |
| Winter weather | Very High | 97.2 | $1.2 million | about 12 a year | 223 |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 95.3 | $2.2 million | about 57 a year | 445,004 strikes |
| Tornado | Relatively High | 94.9 | $13 million | about once every 2.0 years | 45 |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 93.2 | $2.6 million | about 7.3 a year | 275 |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate | 92.9 | $9.7 million | about once every 439 years | — |
| Inland flooding | Relatively Moderate | 88.8 | $39 million | about 6.1 a year | 172 |
| Strong wind | Relatively High | 87.1 | $2.0 million | about 5.7 a year | 216 |
| Cold wave | Relatively Moderate | 78.7 | $3.8 million | about 2.4 a year | 45 |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 72.4 | $241,469 | about once every 685 years | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 54.4 | $2,073 | about once every 4.0 years | — |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 44.4 | $112,077 | about 4.2 a year | 189 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 41.3 | $37,191 | about once every 131 years | 2 |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 25
Most common: Severe Storm 13, Flood 6, Severe Ice Storm 4, Hurricane 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1970s | 2 | Drought, Flood |
| 1990s | 2 | Flood ×2 |
| 2000s | 13 | Severe Storm ×8, Severe Ice Storm ×4, Hurricane |
| 2010s | 5 | Flood ×3, Severe Storm ×2 |
| 2020s | 3 | Severe Storm ×3 |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Greene County
- Severe Winter Storm (2011, EM-3317-MO): 115 Missouri counties designated.
- Severe Winter Storm (2009, EM-3303-MO): 115 Missouri counties designated.
- Severe Winter Storms (2007, EM-3281-MO): 115 Missouri counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Missouri also had 4 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 58
| Tornadoes touching the county | 58 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F4 ×1 |
| Peak month | April (13) |
| Deadliest | 4 May 2003, F3, 49 mi path, 7 killed, 48 injured |
| Longest path | 7 Jan 2008, EF3, 50.4 mi path, 3 killed, 18 injured |
| Most recent | 29 Apr 2025, EF1, 1.6 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 15 / 207 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 19 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 7 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Greene County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greene County (this page) | — | Relatively Moderate | 90.1 | Ice storm |
| Christian County | 35 km | Relatively Low | 66.5 | Ice storm |
| Polk County | 40 km | Relatively Low | 54.5 | Ice storm |
| Webster County | 41 km | Relatively Low | 44.6 | Ice storm |
| Lawrence County | 47 km | Relatively Low | 66.2 | Strong wind |
| Dade County | 49 km | Very Low | 23.3 | Ice storm |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Missouri, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively Low 22.6 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Relatively High 62.3 |
| Community risk factor | 0.91 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $97 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Greene County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Missouri · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Ice storm: Power outages now · Carbon monoxide in winter
- Heat wave: Heatstroke warning signs
- Winter weather: Power outages now · Carbon monoxide in winter
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Greene County
What natural disasters is Greene County, Missouri most at risk from?
Greene County, Missouri has a Relatively Moderate natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 90.1 out of 100, higher than about 90% of US counties, with ice storms, heat waves and winter storms scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $97 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Greene County had?
OpenFEMA lists 25 federal disaster declarations that included Greene County since 1974, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4924-MO (Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding, declared 30 June 2026). Another 4 Missouri declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Greene County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 58 tornadoes touching Greene County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 4 May 2003, F3, 49 mi path, 7 killed, 48 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.