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FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · OpenFEMA · NOAA SPC · data checked 2 Nov 2026

Sioux County, Nebraska: Natural Disaster Risk and History

Sioux County, Nebraska has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 1.4 out of 100, higher than about 1% of US counties, with drought, wildfires and hail scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $1.9 million a year in expected losses.

OpenFEMA lists 12 federal disaster declarations that included Sioux County since 1991, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is FM-5637-NE (South Fork Fire, declared 10 June 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 28 tornadoes touching Sioux County from 1950 to 2025.

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Population 1,135 Buildings worth $527 million Area 2,088 sq mi Risk rank in Nebraska 81 of 93 FIPS 31165

All 18 hazards, highest risk first

FEMA National Risk Index
HazardRisk ratingScoreExpected loss a yearHow oftenEvents in record
DroughtRelatively Moderate 70.5 $670,409 about 96 a year 2,436
WildfireRelatively Low 69.8 $215,967 about once every 405 years —
HailVery Low 32.0 $162,925 about 4.3 a year 161
Winter weatherVery Low 21.7 $24,285 about 17 a year 317
LandslideVery Low 21.6 $171 about once every 1.1 years —
Cold waveVery Low 20.2 $282,317 about 5.6 a year 107
TornadoVery Low 11.5 $106,765 about once every 1.2 years 24
EarthquakeVery Low 9.4 $11,426 rarer than once in 1,000 years —
Ice stormVery Low 5.5 $3,174 about once every 43 years 2
LightningVery Low 3.9 $16,566 about 45 a year 14,108 strikes
Heat waveVery Low 3.2 $2,590 about once every 1.4 years 8
Strong windVery Low 3.1 $19,866 about 1.2 a year 45
Inland floodingVery Low 1.7 $423,343 about once every 4.7 years 6
AvalancheNot Applicable — — — —
Coastal floodingNot Applicable — — — —
HurricaneNot Applicable — — — —
TsunamiNot Applicable — — — —
Volcanic activityNot Applicable — — — —

Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.

Federal disaster declarations 12

Most common: Severe Storm 6, Fire 3, Flood 2, Hurricane 1.

DecadeDeclarationsIncident types
1990s1Flood
2000s3Fire, Hurricane, Severe Storm
2010s6Severe Storm ×4, Flood, Fire
2020s2Fire, Severe Storm

The last 10

South Fork Fire FM-5637-NE · Fire · declared 10 Jun 2026
Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds DR-4786-NE · Severe Storm · declared 24 May 2024
Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding DR-4420-NE · Flood · declared 21 Mar 2019 · households could apply
Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line Winds DR-4325-NE · Severe Storm · declared 1 Aug 2017
Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding DR-4225-NE · Severe Storm · declared 25 Jun 2015
Severe Storms, Winter Storms, Tornadoes and Flooding DR-4156-NE · Severe Storm · declared 26 Nov 2013
Region 23 Fire Complex FM-5009-NE · Fire · declared 30 Aug 2012
Severe Storms and Flooding DR-1924-NE · Severe Storm · declared 15 Jul 2010
Sioux County Fire Complex FM-2661-NE · Fire · declared 29 Jul 2006
Hurricane Katrina Evacuees EM-3245-NE · Hurricane · declared 13 Sep 2005

Widest declarations that included Sioux County

  • Hurricane Katrina Evacuees (2005, EM-3245-NE): 93 Nebraska counties designated.
  • Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding (2019, DR-4420-NE): 84 Nebraska counties designated.
  • Severe Storms and Flooding (2010, DR-1924-NE): 61 Nebraska counties designated.

Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Katrina (2005).

Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Nebraska also had 6 statewide declarations with no county list.

Tornado record since 1950 28

Tornadoes touching the county28
Strongest-rated(E)F3 ×1
Peak monthJune (10)
Deadliest—
Longest path20 Jul 1978, F3, 53.2 mi path
Most recent26 May 2021, unrated, 0.4 mi path
Deaths / injuries on those paths0 / 0
Rating(E)F0(E)F1(E)F2(E)F3(E)F4(E)F5Unrated
Count18521002
Decade1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Count31329271

Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.

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How Sioux County compares with its 5 nearest counties

CountyDistanceOverall riskScoreTop hazard
Sioux County (this page)—Very Low1.4 Drought
Dawes County 57 kmVery Low5.6 Wildfire
Box Butte County 63 kmVery Low21.0 Drought
Goshen County, WY 66 kmVery Low28.5 Hail
Scotts Bluff County 71 kmRelatively Low63.8 Hail
Fall River County, SD 86 kmVery Low30.9 Wildfire

Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Nebraska, ranked.

Vulnerability and resilience

Social vulnerabilityVery Low 13.4
Community resilienceVery Low 9.2
Community risk factor0.83
Expected annual loss, all hazards$1.9 million

FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.

Prepare for Sioux County's main hazards

What this page shows, and what it misses

FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.

Questions about Sioux County

What natural disasters is Sioux County, Nebraska most at risk from?

Sioux County, Nebraska has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 1.4 out of 100, higher than about 1% of US counties, with drought, wildfires and hail scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $1.9 million a year in expected losses.

How many federal disaster declarations has Sioux County had?

OpenFEMA lists 12 federal disaster declarations that included Sioux County since 1991, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is FM-5637-NE (South Fork Fire, declared 10 June 2026). Another 6 Nebraska declarations were made statewide without a county list.

How many tornadoes have hit Sioux County?

NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 28 tornadoes touching Sioux County from 1950 to 2025.

Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?

No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.