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FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · OpenFEMA · NOAA SPC · data checked 2 Nov 2026

Davie County, North Carolina: Natural Disaster Risk and History

Davie County, North Carolina has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 41.7 out of 100, higher than about 41% of US counties, with ice storms, hurricanes and inland (river and flash) flooding scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $13 million a year in expected losses.

OpenFEMA lists 20 federal disaster declarations that included Davie County since 1977, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3637-NC (Severe Winter Storm, declared 24 January 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 7 tornadoes touching Davie County from 1950 to 2025.

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Population 42,692 Buildings worth $9.8 billion Area 269 sq mi Risk rank in North Carolina 85 of 100 FIPS 37059

All 18 hazards, highest risk first

FEMA National Risk Index
HazardRisk ratingScoreExpected loss a yearHow oftenEvents in record
Ice stormRelatively High 85.7 $636,781 about 2 a year 133
HurricaneRelatively Low 70.0 $597,096 about once every 12 years 22
Inland floodingRelatively Low 58.6 $8.7 million about once every 2.5 years 11
DroughtRelatively Low 56.1 $222,228 about 27 a year 833
EarthquakeVery Low 55.2 $364,591 about once every 625 years —
Cold waveRelatively Low 52.5 $1.1 million about once every 1.9 years 10
HailRelatively Low 37.3 $162,835 about 5 a year 190
TornadoRelatively Low 37.2 $762,753 about once every 10 years 6
Winter weatherRelatively Low 33.8 $35,590 about 7.1 a year 134
LightningRelatively Low 33.3 $125,120 about 5 a year 53,720 strikes
Strong windRelatively Low 32.5 $324,486 about 2.4 a year 92
Heat waveVery Low 31.5 $148,205 about 1.4 a year 23
LandslideVery Low 30.4 $324 about once every 4.3 years —
WildfireVery Low 23.1 $9,574 rarer than once in 1,000 years —
AvalancheNot Applicable — — — —
Coastal floodingNot Applicable — — — —
TsunamiNot Applicable — — — —
Volcanic activityNot Applicable — — — —

Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.

Federal disaster declarations 20

Most common: Hurricane 8, Snowstorm 4, Tropical Storm 2, Severe Ice Storm 2.

DecadeDeclarationsIncident types
1970s2Drought, Snowstorm
1980s2Hurricane, Tornado
1990s3Snowstorm ×3
2000s2Hurricane, Severe Ice Storm
2010s5Hurricane ×4, Severe Ice Storm
2020s6Tropical Storm ×2, Hurricane ×2, Winter Storm, Severe Storm

The last 10

Severe Winter Storm EM-3637-NC · Winter Storm · declared 24 Jan 2026
Hurricane Helene EM-3617-NC · Tropical Storm · declared 26 Sep 2024
Tropical Storm Debby EM-3608-NC · Tropical Storm · declared 6 Aug 2024
Hurricane Ian EM-3586-NC · Hurricane · declared 1 Oct 2022
Tropical Storm Eta DR-4588-NC · Severe Storm · declared 3 Mar 2021
Hurricane Isaias EM-3534-NC · Hurricane · declared 2 Aug 2020
Hurricane Dorian EM-3423-NC · Hurricane · declared 3 Sep 2019
Tropical Storm Michael DR-4412-NC · Hurricane · declared 31 Jan 2019
Hurricane Florence EM-3401-NC · Hurricane · declared 10 Sep 2018
Hurricane Matthew EM-3380-NC · Hurricane · declared 7 Oct 2016

Widest declarations that included Davie County

  • Severe Winter Storm (2026, EM-3637-NC): 100 North Carolina counties designated.
  • Hurricane Helene (2024, EM-3617-NC): 100 North Carolina counties designated.
  • Hurricane Ian (2022, EM-3586-NC): 100 North Carolina counties designated.

Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Helene (2024), Tropical Storm Debby (2024), Hurricane Ian (2022), Tropical Storm Eta (2021), Hurricane Isaias (2020), Hurricane Dorian (2019), Tropical Storm Michael (2019), Hurricane Florence (2018), Hurricane Matthew (2016), Hurricane Katrina (2005), Hurricane Hugo (1989).

Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. North Carolina also had 9 statewide declarations with no county list.

Tornado record since 1950 7

Tornadoes touching the county7
Strongest-rated(E)F2 ×2
Peak monthMay (4)
Deadliest24 May 2017, EF2, 5.9 mi path, 0 killed, 1 injured
Longest path24 May 2017, EF2, 5.9 mi path, 0 killed, 1 injured
Most recent24 May 2017, EF2, 5.9 mi path, 0 killed, 1 injured
Deaths / injuries on those paths0 / 1
Rating(E)F0(E)F1(E)F2(E)F3(E)F4(E)F5Unrated
Count4120000
Decade1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Count00011320

Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.

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How Davie County compares with its 5 nearest counties

CountyDistanceOverall riskScoreTop hazard
Davie County (this page)—Very Low41.7 Ice storm
Yadkin County 28 kmVery Low38.4 Ice storm
Rowan County 32 kmRelatively Moderate82.9 Ice storm
Iredell County 33 kmRelatively Low80.8 Ice storm
Davidson County 33 kmRelatively Moderate87.2 Ice storm
Forsyth County 34 kmRelatively Moderate91.5 Ice storm

Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in North Carolina, ranked.

Vulnerability and resilience

Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low 37.2
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate 45.2
Community risk factor1.04
Expected annual loss, all hazards$13 million

FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.

Prepare for Davie County's main hazards

What this page shows, and what it misses

FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.

Questions about Davie County

What natural disasters is Davie County, North Carolina most at risk from?

Davie County, North Carolina has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 41.7 out of 100, higher than about 41% of US counties, with ice storms, hurricanes and inland (river and flash) flooding scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $13 million a year in expected losses.

How many federal disaster declarations has Davie County had?

OpenFEMA lists 20 federal disaster declarations that included Davie County since 1977, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3637-NC (Severe Winter Storm, declared 24 January 2026). Another 9 North Carolina declarations were made statewide without a county list.

How many tornadoes have hit Davie County?

NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 7 tornadoes touching Davie County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 24 May 2017, EF2, 5.9 mi path, 0 killed, 1 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).

Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?

No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.