Bradford County, Pennsylvania: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Bradford County, Pennsylvania has a Relatively Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 73.1 out of 100, higher than about 73% of US counties, with lightning, inland (river and flash) flooding and landslides scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $32 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 19 federal disaster declarations that included Bradford County since 1972, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4408-PA (Severe Storms and Flooding, declared 27 November 2018). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 21 tornadoes touching Bradford County from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for Pennsylvania All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 59,840 Buildings worth $16 billion Area 1,173 sq mi Risk rank in Pennsylvania 32 of 67 FIPS 42015
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning | Relatively High | 90.8 | $1.3 million | about 31 a year | 123,486 strikes |
| Inland flooding | Relatively Moderate | 86.1 | $28 million | about 3.3 a year | 91 |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 81.4 | $18,895 | about 1.3 a year | — |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | 69.4 | $561,045 | about once every 30 years | 10 |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 53.9 | $759 | about once every 100 years | 0 |
| Ice storm | Relatively Low | 49.1 | $83,029 | about once every 3.0 years | 23 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 45.1 | $209,602 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Cold wave | Relatively Low | 41.2 | $700,329 | about 3.2 a year | 60 |
| Heat wave | Very Low | 32.7 | $157,640 | about 1.7 a year | 27 |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 31.6 | $564,650 | about once every 2.9 years | 17 |
| Strong wind | Relatively Low | 27.8 | $270,618 | about 1.7 a year | 65 |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 21.7 | $8,625 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 19.7 | $70,858 | about 2 a year | 76 |
| Winter weather | Very Low | 9.8 | $7,597 | about 15 a year | 276 |
| Drought | No Rating | 0.0 | — | — | 0 |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 19
Most common: Severe Storm 7, Flood 7, Hurricane 3, Snowstorm 2.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1970s | 3 | Flood ×3 |
| 1990s | 3 | Snowstorm ×2, Flood |
| 2000s | 7 | Severe Storm ×5, Hurricane ×2 |
| 2010s | 6 | Flood ×3, Severe Storm ×2, Hurricane |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Bradford County
- Hurricane Sandy (2012, EM-3356-PA): 67 Pennsylvania counties designated.
- Hurricane Katrina (2005, EM-3235-PA): 67 Pennsylvania counties designated.
- Tropical Depression Ivan (2004, DR-1557-PA): 67 Pennsylvania counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Sandy (2012), Tropical Storm Lee (2011), Hurricane Katrina (2005), Tropical Depression Ivan (2004), Tropical Depression Frances (2004), Tropical Storm Agnes (1972).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Pennsylvania also had 5 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 21
| Tornadoes touching the county | 21 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F2 ×3 |
| Peak month | July (10) |
| Deadliest | 29 Jul 1976, F1, 0.1 mi path, 0 killed, 1 injured |
| Longest path | 5 Jul 1992, F1, 8 mi path |
| Most recent | 28 May 2019, EF1, 3.2 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 0 / 1 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Bradford County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford County (this page) | — | Relatively Low | 73.1 | Lightning |
| Sullivan County | 38 km | Very Low | 10.7 | Avalanche |
| Chemung County, NY | 44 km | Relatively Low | 54.8 | Inland flooding |
| Tioga County, NY | 46 km | Relatively Low | 59.9 | Inland flooding |
| Wyoming County | 51 km | Relatively Low | 44.8 | Landslide |
| Susquehanna County | 59 km | Relatively Low | 53.6 | Landslide |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Pennsylvania, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively Low 37.8 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Relatively High 67.0 |
| Community risk factor | 1.03 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $32 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Bradford County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Pennsylvania · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Lightning: Weather alerts for Pennsylvania
- Inland flooding: Flood safety: why shallow water kills · Floods recorded
- Landslide: Landslides recorded
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Bradford County
What natural disasters is Bradford County, Pennsylvania most at risk from?
Bradford County, Pennsylvania has a Relatively Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 73.1 out of 100, higher than about 73% of US counties, with lightning, inland (river and flash) flooding and landslides scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $32 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Bradford County had?
OpenFEMA lists 19 federal disaster declarations that included Bradford County since 1972, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4408-PA (Severe Storms and Flooding, declared 27 November 2018). Another 5 Pennsylvania declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Bradford County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 21 tornadoes touching Bradford County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 29 Jul 1976, F1, 0.1 mi path, 0 killed, 1 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.