Jim Hogg County, Texas: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Jim Hogg County, Texas has a Relatively Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 45.5 out of 100, higher than about 45% of US counties, with cold waves, hurricanes and wildfires scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $7.8 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 21 federal disaster declarations that included Jim Hogg County since 1967, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4586-TX (Severe Winter Storms, declared 19 February 2021). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 4 tornadoes touching Jim Hogg County from 1950 to 2025.
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Population 4,819 Buildings worth $929 million Area 1,148 sq mi Risk rank in Texas 141 of 254 FIPS 48247
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cold wave | Relatively High | 94.5 | $5.9 million | about 2.4 a year | 46 |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | 65.5 | $201,546 | about once every 12 years | 35 |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 51.4 | $27,984 | about once every 323 years | — |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 35.8 | $81,724 | about once every 1.3 years | 30 |
| Heat wave | Very Low | 25.9 | $57,206 | about 4.5 a year | 84 |
| Ice storm | Very Low | 24.7 | $12,684 | about once every 7.6 years | 9 |
| Inland flooding | Very Low | 23.2 | $1.5 million | about once every 2.0 years | 14 |
| Tornado | Very Low | 14.3 | $69,225 | about once every 6.6 years | 4 |
| Winter weather | Very Low | 6.8 | $2,622 | about once every 1.4 years | 14 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 4.9 | $2,645 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Strong wind | Very Low | 3.8 | $12,136 | about once every 2.0 years | 20 |
| Lightning | Very Low | 2.6 | $4,708 | about 38 a year | 31,603 strikes |
| Landslide | Very Low | 1.5 | $1 | about once every 10 years | — |
| Drought | No Rating | 0.0 | — | about 116 a year | 2,940 |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 21
Most common: Hurricane 12, Fire 4, Severe Ice Storm 2, Severe Storm 2.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1960s | 1 | Hurricane |
| 1970s | 1 | Flood |
| 1980s | 1 | Hurricane |
| 1990s | 2 | Hurricane, Severe Storm |
| 2000s | 10 | Hurricane ×6, Fire ×3, Severe Storm |
| 2010s | 3 | Hurricane ×2, Fire |
| 2020s | 3 | Severe Ice Storm ×2, Hurricane |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Jim Hogg County
- Severe Winter Storms (2021, DR-4586-TX): 254 Texas counties designated.
- Severe Winter Storm (2021, EM-3554-TX): 254 Texas counties designated.
- Extreme Wildfire Threat (2006, DR-1624-TX): 254 Texas counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Hanna (2020), Hurricane Alex (2010), Tropical Storm Alex (2010), Hurricane Ike (2008), Hurricane Gustav (2008), Hurricane Dolly (2008), Hurricane Rita (2005), Hurricane Katrina (2005), Hurricane Bret (1999), Tropical Storm Charley (1998), Hurricane Allen (1980), Hurricane Beulah (1967).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Texas also had 101 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 4
| Tornadoes touching the county | 4 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F1 ×1 |
| Peak month | May (2) |
| Deadliest | — |
| Longest path | 20 Jul 2005, F0, 2 mi path |
| Most recent | 10 May 2012, EF0, 0.1 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 0 / 0 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Jim Hogg County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Hogg County (this page) | — | Relatively Low | 45.5 | Cold wave |
| Zapata County | 47 km | Very Low | 31.4 | Cold wave |
| Brooks County | 47 km | Relatively Low | 60.8 | Cold wave |
| Starr County | 54 km | Relatively Moderate | 84.8 | Cold wave |
| Duval County | 73 km | Relatively Low | 54.4 | Cold wave |
| Hidalgo County | 88 km | Relatively High | 99.0 | Cold wave |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Texas, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Very High 98.8 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Very Low 2.0 |
| Community risk factor | 1.92 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $7.8 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Jim Hogg County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Texas · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Cold wave: Carbon monoxide in winter · Power outages now
- Hurricane: Is there a hurricane now? · Cyclone preparation
- Wildfire: US wildfires now · Wildfire smoke: what protects you
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Jim Hogg County
What natural disasters is Jim Hogg County, Texas most at risk from?
Jim Hogg County, Texas has a Relatively Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 45.5 out of 100, higher than about 45% of US counties, with cold waves, hurricanes and wildfires scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $7.8 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Jim Hogg County had?
OpenFEMA lists 21 federal disaster declarations that included Jim Hogg County since 1967, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4586-TX (Severe Winter Storms, declared 19 February 2021). Another 101 Texas declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Jim Hogg County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 4 tornadoes touching Jim Hogg County from 1950 to 2025.
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.