Bristol City, Virginia: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Bristol City, Virginia has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 8.6 out of 100, higher than about 8% of US counties, with earthquakes, landslides and strong winds scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $2.9 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 11 federal disaster declarations that included Bristol City since 1993, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3631-VA (Severe Winter Storm, declared 23 January 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has no tornado on record touching Bristol City from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for Virginia All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 17,217 Buildings worth $3.3 billion Area 13 sq mi Risk rank in Virginia 110 of 133 FIPS 51520
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 59.5 | $296,267 | about once every 500 years | — |
| Landslide | Very Low | 45.1 | $643 | about once every 31 years | — |
| Strong wind | Relatively Low | 40.9 | $283,707 | about 3.3 a year | 126 |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 36.0 | $92,353 | about 49 a year | 30,162 strikes |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 33.2 | $12,156 | about once every 78 years | 2 |
| Cold wave | Relatively Low | 27.4 | $245,092 | about 2.3 a year | 44 |
| Inland flooding | Very Low | 23.1 | $1.8 million | about once every 2.5 years | 11 |
| Winter weather | Very Low | 19.8 | $11,577 | about 13 a year | 248 |
| Tornado | Very Low | 16.5 | $113,167 | about once every 493 years | 1 |
| Ice storm | Very Low | 8.8 | $2,918 | about once every 21 years | 3 |
| Hail | Very Low | 8.5 | $16,441 | about 3 a year | 113 |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.6 | $182 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Drought | No Rating | 0.0 | — | about 12 a year | 329 |
| Heat wave | No Rating | 0.0 | — | — | 0 |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 11
Most common: Hurricane 4, Snowstorm 3, Tropical Storm 2, Winter Storm 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1990s | 3 | Snowstorm ×3 |
| 2000s | 1 | Hurricane |
| 2010s | 3 | Hurricane ×3 |
| 2020s | 4 | Tropical Storm ×2, Winter Storm, Severe Storm |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Bristol City
- Severe Winter Storm (2026, EM-3631-VA): 133 Virginia counties designated.
- Hurricane Florence (2018, EM-3403-VA): 133 Virginia counties designated.
- Hurricane Sandy (2012, EM-3359-VA): 133 Virginia counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Tropical Storm Helene (2024), Hurricane Florence (2018), Hurricane Sandy (2012), Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Virginia also had 3 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 0
No tornado in NOAA's Storm Prediction Center record touched Bristol City between 1950 and 2025. That does not mean one cannot happen.
How Bristol City compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City (this page) | — | Very Low | 8.6 | Earthquake |
| Sullivan County, TN | 17 km | Relatively Low | 71.5 | Landslide |
| Washington County | 21 km | Relatively Low | 46.6 | Landslide |
| Johnson County, TN | 33 km | Very Low | 28.2 | Landslide |
| Russell County | 36 km | Very Low | 36.5 | Landslide |
| Carter County, TN | 36 km | Relatively Low | 63.2 | Landslide |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Virginia, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Very High 86.8 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Relatively Low 23.6 |
| Community risk factor | 1.56 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $2.9 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Bristol City's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Virginia · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Earthquake: Earthquakes today · Earthquake safety guide
- Landslide: Landslides recorded
- Strong wind: Power outages now
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Bristol City
What natural disasters is Bristol City, Virginia most at risk from?
Bristol City, Virginia has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 8.6 out of 100, higher than about 8% of US counties, with earthquakes, landslides and strong winds scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $2.9 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Bristol City had?
OpenFEMA lists 11 federal disaster declarations that included Bristol City since 1993, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3631-VA (Severe Winter Storm, declared 23 January 2026). Another 3 Virginia declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Bristol City?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has no tornado on record touching Bristol City from 1950 to 2025.
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.