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FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · OpenFEMA · NOAA SPC · data checked 2 Nov 2026

Powhatan County, Virginia: Natural Disaster Risk and History

Powhatan County, Virginia has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 21.1 out of 100, higher than about 21% of US counties, with drought, earthquakes and hurricanes scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $9.6 million a year in expected losses.

OpenFEMA lists 22 federal disaster declarations that included Powhatan County since 1969, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3631-VA (Severe Winter Storm, declared 23 January 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 5 tornadoes touching Powhatan County from 1950 to 2025.

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Population 30,304 Buildings worth $6.7 billion Area 265 sq mi Risk rank in Virginia 73 of 133 FIPS 51145

All 18 hazards, highest risk first

FEMA National Risk Index
HazardRisk ratingScoreExpected loss a yearHow oftenEvents in record
DroughtRelatively High 91.5 $2.4 million about 6.5 a year 189
EarthquakeRelatively Low 72.2 $1.2 million about once every 341 years —
HurricaneRelatively Low 61.5 $306,650 about once every 10 years 32
Ice stormRelatively Low 34.6 $52,095 about 1.2 a year 83
Heat waveVery Low 33.2 $206,900 about 4.1 a year 60
Inland floodingVery Low 29.7 $4.4 million about once every 2.0 years 14
LightningRelatively Low 28.6 $132,253 about 42 a year 25,980 strikes
TornadoVery Low 26.0 $500,767 about once every 7.7 years 5
LandslideVery Low 24.4 $232 about once every 3.7 years —
Strong windRelatively Low 24.1 $287,185 about 2.1 a year 80
Winter weatherVery Low 23.7 $27,721 about 5.4 a year 103
HailVery Low 13.0 $54,601 about 2.5 a year 93
WildfireVery Low 12.8 $5,509 rarer than once in 1,000 years —
Cold waveVery Low 4.1 $9,226 about once every 1.7 years 11
AvalancheNot Applicable — — — —
Coastal floodingNot Applicable — — — —
TsunamiNot Applicable — — — —
Volcanic activityNot Applicable — — — —

Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.

Federal disaster declarations 22

Most common: Hurricane 8, Severe Storm 4, Snowstorm 3, Flood 3.

DecadeDeclarationsIncident types
1960s1Hurricane
1970s4Drought ×2, Flood ×2
1980s1Flood
1990s4Snowstorm ×3, Hurricane
2000s3Hurricane ×2, Severe Storm
2010s5Hurricane ×4, Severe Storm
2020s4Severe Storm ×2, Winter Storm, Severe Ice Storm

The last 10

Severe Winter Storm EM-3631-VA · Winter Storm · declared 23 Jan 2026
Severe Winter Storms and Flooding DR-4863-VA · Severe Storm · declared 4 Apr 2025
Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm DR-4644-VA · Severe Storm · declared 11 Mar 2022
Severe Winter Storms DR-4602-VA · Severe Ice Storm · declared 10 May 2021
Tropical Storm Michael DR-4411-VA · Hurricane · declared 18 Dec 2018
Hurricane Florence EM-3403-VA · Hurricane · declared 11 Sep 2018
Hurricane Sandy EM-3359-VA · Hurricane · declared 29 Oct 2012
Severe Storms and Straight-Line Winds DR-4072-VA · Severe Storm · declared 27 Jul 2012
Hurricane Irene DR-4024-VA · Hurricane · declared 3 Sep 2011
Hurricane Katrina Evacuation EM-3240-VA · Hurricane · declared 12 Sep 2005

Widest declarations that included Powhatan County

  • Severe Winter Storm (2026, EM-3631-VA): 133 Virginia counties designated.
  • Hurricane Florence (2018, EM-3403-VA): 133 Virginia counties designated.
  • Hurricane Sandy (2012, EM-3359-VA): 133 Virginia counties designated.

Named storms in its declarations: Tropical Storm Michael (2018), Hurricane Florence (2018), Hurricane Sandy (2012), Hurricane Irene (2011), Hurricane Katrina (2005), Hurricane Isabel (2003), Hurricane Fran (1996), Tropical Storm Agnes (1972).

Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Virginia also had 3 statewide declarations with no county list.

Tornado record since 1950 5

Tornadoes touching the county5
Strongest-rated(E)F2 ×1
Peak monthMay (2)
Deadliest8 May 1962, F2, 0.1 mi path, 1 killed, 2 injured
Longest path16 Jun 2022, EF0, 23.5 mi path
Most recent16 Jun 2022, EF0, 23.5 mi path
Deaths / injuries on those paths1 / 2
Rating(E)F0(E)F1(E)F2(E)F3(E)F4(E)F5Unrated
Count4010000
Decade1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Count01010021

Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.

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How Powhatan County compares with its 5 nearest counties

CountyDistanceOverall riskScoreTop hazard
Powhatan County (this page)—Very Low21.1 Drought
Goochland County 19 kmVery Low15.5 Earthquake
Amelia County 24 kmVery Low12.0 Drought
Cumberland County 29 kmVery Low19.7 Drought
Chesterfield County 35 kmRelatively Moderate84.8 Earthquake
Richmond City 39 kmRelatively Low78.4 Earthquake

Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Virginia, ranked.

Vulnerability and resilience

Social vulnerabilityVery Low 13.4
Community resilienceRelatively High 63.3
Community risk factor0.82
Expected annual loss, all hazards$9.6 million

FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.

Prepare for Powhatan County's main hazards

What this page shows, and what it misses

FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.

Questions about Powhatan County

What natural disasters is Powhatan County, Virginia most at risk from?

Powhatan County, Virginia has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 21.1 out of 100, higher than about 21% of US counties, with drought, earthquakes and hurricanes scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $9.6 million a year in expected losses.

How many federal disaster declarations has Powhatan County had?

OpenFEMA lists 22 federal disaster declarations that included Powhatan County since 1969, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3631-VA (Severe Winter Storm, declared 23 January 2026). Another 3 Virginia declarations were made statewide without a county list.

How many tornadoes have hit Powhatan County?

NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 5 tornadoes touching Powhatan County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 8 May 1962, F2, 0.1 mi path, 1 killed, 2 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).

Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?

No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.