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FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · OpenFEMA · NOAA SPC · data checked 2 Nov 2026

Prince George County, Virginia: Natural Disaster Risk and History

Prince George County, Virginia has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 13.9 out of 100, higher than about 13% of US counties, with drought, hurricanes and earthquakes scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $8.1 million a year in expected losses.

OpenFEMA lists 17 federal disaster declarations that included Prince George County since 1977, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3631-VA (Severe Winter Storm, declared 23 January 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 10 tornadoes touching Prince George County from 1950 to 2025.

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Population 42,930 Buildings worth $6.5 billion Area 285 sq mi Risk rank in Virginia 95 of 133 FIPS 51149

All 18 hazards, highest risk first

FEMA National Risk Index
HazardRisk ratingScoreExpected loss a yearHow oftenEvents in record
DroughtRelatively Moderate 84.6 $1.7 million about 5.2 a year 161
HurricaneRelatively Low 70.0 $841,105 about once every 5.6 years 50
EarthquakeVery Low 51.8 $426,410 about once every 610 years —
Winter weatherRelatively Low 48.1 $84,584 about 4.6 a year 87
Heat waveRelatively Low 44.1 $396,365 about 5.6 a year 86
Coastal floodingVery Low 40.0 $22,711 about 3.7 a year —
Ice stormRelatively Low 39.3 $72,209 about 1.3 a year 89
TornadoRelatively Low 28.0 $633,289 about once every 6.2 years 12
LightningRelatively Low 27.3 $138,786 about 44 a year 41,158 strikes
LandslideVery Low 25.0 $273 about once every 13 years —
WildfireVery Low 24.2 $14,127 rarer than once in 1,000 years —
Cold waveVery Low 23.4 $408,443 about once every 2.1 years 9
Strong windRelatively Low 18.3 $225,349 about once every 1.5 years 25
Inland floodingVery Low 17.9 $3.1 million about once every 1.6 years 17
HailVery Low 13.2 $61,376 about 2.3 a year 89
AvalancheNot Applicable — — — —
TsunamiInsufficient Data — — — —
Volcanic activityNot Applicable — — — —

Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.

Federal disaster declarations 17

Most common: Hurricane 7, Severe Storm 3, Snowstorm 3, Winter Storm 1.

DecadeDeclarationsIncident types
1970s2Drought, Freezing
1990s5Snowstorm ×3, Hurricane ×2
2000s5Severe Storm ×3, Hurricane ×2
2010s3Hurricane ×3
2020s2Winter Storm, Severe Ice Storm

The last 10

Severe Winter Storm EM-3631-VA · Winter Storm · declared 23 Jan 2026
Severe Winter Storms DR-4602-VA · Severe Ice Storm · declared 10 May 2021
Hurricane Florence EM-3403-VA · Hurricane · declared 11 Sep 2018
Hurricane Sandy EM-3359-VA · Hurricane · declared 29 Oct 2012
Hurricane Irene DR-4024-VA · Hurricane · declared 3 Sep 2011
Hurricane Katrina Evacuation EM-3240-VA · Hurricane · declared 12 Sep 2005
Severe Storms, Flooding and Tornadoes Associated W Td Gaston DR-1544-VA · Severe Storm · declared 3 Sep 2004 · households could apply
Hurricane Isabel DR-1491-VA · Hurricane · declared 18 Sep 2003 · households could apply
Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding DR-1411-VA · Severe Storm · declared 5 May 2002 · households could apply
Severe Winter Storms DR-1318-VA · Severe Storm · declared 28 Feb 2000

Widest declarations that included Prince George County

  • Severe Winter Storm (2026, EM-3631-VA): 133 Virginia counties designated.
  • Hurricane Florence (2018, EM-3403-VA): 133 Virginia counties designated.
  • Hurricane Sandy (2012, EM-3359-VA): 133 Virginia counties designated.

Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Florence (2018), Hurricane Sandy (2012), Hurricane Irene (2011), Hurricane Katrina (2005), Hurricane Isabel (2003), Hurricane Floyd (1999), Hurricane Fran (1996).

Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Virginia also had 3 statewide declarations with no county list.

Tornado record since 1950 10

Tornadoes touching the county10
Strongest-rated(E)F4 ×1
Peak monthApril (2)
Deadliest6 Aug 1993, F4, 1 mi path, 4 killed, 246 injured
Longest path14 Oct 1986, F2, 16 mi path, 0 killed, 1 injured
Most recent19 Apr 2019, EF1, 8.3 mi path
Deaths / injuries on those paths4 / 268
Rating(E)F0(E)F1(E)F2(E)F3(E)F4(E)F5Unrated
Count4230100
Decade1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Count01031320

Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.

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How Prince George County compares with its 5 nearest counties

CountyDistanceOverall riskScoreTop hazard
Prince George County (this page)—Very Low13.9 Drought
Hopewell City 14 kmVery Low17.2 Hurricane
Petersburg City 15 kmVery Low17.0 Hurricane
Colonial Heights City 18 kmVery Low6.0 Hurricane
Charles City County 25 kmVery Low9.3 Drought
Sussex County 29 kmVery Low13.2 Drought

Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Virginia, ranked.

Vulnerability and resilience

Social vulnerabilityVery Low 10.6
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate 54.7
Community risk factor0.74
Expected annual loss, all hazards$8.1 million

FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.

Prepare for Prince George County's main hazards

What this page shows, and what it misses

FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.

Questions about Prince George County

What natural disasters is Prince George County, Virginia most at risk from?

Prince George County, Virginia has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 13.9 out of 100, higher than about 13% of US counties, with drought, hurricanes and earthquakes scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $8.1 million a year in expected losses.

How many federal disaster declarations has Prince George County had?

OpenFEMA lists 17 federal disaster declarations that included Prince George County since 1977, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3631-VA (Severe Winter Storm, declared 23 January 2026). Another 3 Virginia declarations were made statewide without a county list.

How many tornadoes have hit Prince George County?

NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 10 tornadoes touching Prince George County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 6 Aug 1993, F4, 1 mi path, 4 killed, 246 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).

Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?

No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.