Niobrara County, Wyoming: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Niobrara County, Wyoming has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 3.3 out of 100, higher than about 3% of US counties, with wildfires, winter storms and cold waves scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $1.8 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 3 federal disaster declarations that included Niobrara County since 1978, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4227-WY (Severe Storms and Flooding, declared 7 July 2015). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 36 tornadoes touching Niobrara County from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for Wyoming All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 2,432 Buildings worth $827 million Area 2,655 sq mi Risk rank in Wyoming 23 of 23 FIPS 56027
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 80.9 | $309,536 | about once every 353 years | — |
| Winter weather | Relatively Low | 46.1 | $39,858 | about 17 a year | 328 |
| Cold wave | Relatively Low | 43.0 | $521,872 | about 4.5 a year | 85 |
| Landslide | Very Low | 35.3 | $328 | about 1.4 a year | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 28.4 | $44,914 | about once every 877 years | — |
| Hail | Very Low | 25.7 | $67,586 | about 3 a year | 115 |
| Drought | Very Low | 25.1 | $8,932 | about 105 a year | 2,660 |
| Tornado | Very Low | 13.5 | $80,766 | about once every 1.6 years | 16 |
| Lightning | Very Low | 11.6 | $27,704 | about 43 a year | 68,493 strikes |
| Inland flooding | Very Low | 6.9 | $690,875 | about once every 5.6 years | 5 |
| Heat wave | Very Low | 5.6 | $4,922 | about once every 2.1 years | 5 |
| Ice storm | Very Low | 4.1 | $1,177 | about once every 67 years | 0 |
| Strong wind | Very Low | 3.3 | $12,911 | about once every 1.1 years | 34 |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 3
Most common: Flood 2, Severe Ice Storm 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1970s | 1 | Flood |
| 1990s | 1 | Severe Ice Storm |
| 2010s | 1 | Flood |
The last 3
Widest declarations that included Niobrara County
- Severe Storms, Flooding & Mudslides (1978, DR-557-WY): 12 Wyoming counties designated.
- Severe Storms and Flooding (2015, DR-4227-WY): 4 Wyoming counties designated.
- Wy - Winter Storm 10/5/98 (1999, DR-1268-WY): 2 Wyoming counties designated.
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Wyoming also had 1 statewide declaration with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 36
| Tornadoes touching the county | 36 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F2 ×3 |
| Peak month | June (20) |
| Deadliest | 5 Jun 1982, F2, 1 mi path, 0 killed, 3 injured |
| Longest path | 11 Jun 1953, F1, 7.2 mi path |
| Most recent | 17 Jun 2025, unrated, 0.1 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 0 / 5 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 17 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Niobrara County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niobrara County (this page) | — | Very Low | 3.3 | Wildfire |
| Fall River County, SD | 80 km | Very Low | 30.9 | Wildfire |
| Converse County | 84 km | Very Low | 31.4 | Wildfire |
| Sioux County, NE | 86 km | Very Low | 1.4 | Drought |
| Weston County | 87 km | Very Low | 7.9 | Wildfire |
| Custer County, SD | 108 km | Very Low | 16.3 | Wildfire |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Wyoming, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively High 79.1 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Very Low 10.9 |
| Community risk factor | 1.48 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $1.8 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Niobrara County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Wyoming · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Wildfire: US wildfires now · Wildfire smoke: what protects you
- Winter weather: Power outages now · Carbon monoxide in winter
- Cold wave: Carbon monoxide in winter · Power outages now
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Niobrara County
What natural disasters is Niobrara County, Wyoming most at risk from?
Niobrara County, Wyoming has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 3.3 out of 100, higher than about 3% of US counties, with wildfires, winter storms and cold waves scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $1.8 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Niobrara County had?
OpenFEMA lists 3 federal disaster declarations that included Niobrara County since 1978, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4227-WY (Severe Storms and Flooding, declared 7 July 2015). Another 1 Wyoming declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Niobrara County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 36 tornadoes touching Niobrara County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 5 Jun 1982, F2, 1 mi path, 0 killed, 3 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.