White Christmas in Buffalo?
Historically, Buffalo, NY has a 53% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, about every other year — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for Buffalo, 13 km from the city centre.
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 25% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 43%.
All US cities ranked Weather alerts now
From 15 December this page also links the National Weather Service forecast for Buffalo.
Buffalo against other cities
Buffalo, NY ranks 5 of 93 US cities on our list.
| Cleveland, OH · 279 km | 40% |
|---|---|
| Pittsburgh, PA · 287 km | 31% |
| Detroit, MI · 347 km | 33% |
| Toledo, OH · 408 km | 31% |
| Baltimore, MD · 443 km | 7% |
| Philadelphia, PA · 450 km | 11% |
What this page shows, and what it misses
NOAA's smoothed share of Christmases from 1991 to 2020 with snow on the ground at Buffalo (station USW00014733, 693 ft above sea level, 13 km from the centre of Buffalo), based on 30 years with data.
It misses this year's weather and local differences: snow cover can change a lot over a few miles and a few hundred feet of height.
FAQQuestions people ask
Will Buffalo, NY have a white Christmas?
Historically, Buffalo, NY has a 53% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, about every other year — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for Buffalo, 13 km from the city centre. These are long-run odds, not a forecast: from about a week before, check the National Weather Service forecast for Buffalo.
How much snow does Buffalo, NY usually have on Christmas Day?
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 25% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 43%. The median snow depth on 25 December at this station is 4 inches.
How does Buffalo, NY compare with other US cities?
Buffalo, NY ranks 5 of 93 US cities on this list for the chance of 1 inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day.
Source: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (daily normals; Palecki, M., Durre, I., Applequist, S., Arguez, A. & Lawrimore, J., 2021), public domain. Forecast links: National Weather Service (api.weather.gov), public domain. Station matching and ranking are Global Incident Tracker's own; NOAA does not endorse them.