White Christmas in Manhattan?
Historically, Manhattan, NY has a 13% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, about 1 Christmas in 10 — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for New York Cntrl Pk Twr, 1 km from the city centre.
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 5% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 8%.
All US cities ranked Weather alerts now
From 15 December this page also links the National Weather Service forecast for Manhattan.
Manhattan against other cities
Manhattan, NY ranks 30 of 93 US cities on our list.
| New York City, NY · 8 km | 13% |
|---|---|
| The Bronx, NY · 11 km | 12% |
| Jersey City, NJ · 11 km | 14% |
| Brooklyn, NY · 15 km | 13% |
| Queens, NY · 16 km | 12% |
| Newark, NJ · 18 km | 14% |
What this page shows, and what it misses
NOAA's smoothed share of Christmases from 1991 to 2020 with snow on the ground at New York Cntrl Pk Twr (station USW00094728, 130 ft above sea level, 1 km from the centre of Manhattan), based on 25 years with data.
It misses this year's weather and local differences: snow cover can change a lot over a few miles and a few hundred feet of height.
FAQQuestions people ask
Will Manhattan, NY have a white Christmas?
Historically, Manhattan, NY has a 13% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, about 1 Christmas in 10 — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for New York Cntrl Pk Twr, 1 km from the city centre. These are long-run odds, not a forecast: from about a week before, check the National Weather Service forecast for Manhattan.
How much snow does Manhattan, NY usually have on Christmas Day?
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 5% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 8%. The median snow depth on 25 December at this station is 3 inches.
How does Manhattan, NY compare with other US cities?
Manhattan, NY ranks 30 of 93 US cities on this list for the chance of 1 inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day.
Source: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (daily normals; Palecki, M., Durre, I., Applequist, S., Arguez, A. & Lawrimore, J., 2021), public domain. Forecast links: National Weather Service (api.weather.gov), public domain. Station matching and ranking are Global Incident Tracker's own; NOAA does not endorse them.