White Christmas in Memphis?
Historically, Memphis, TN has a 1% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, rarely — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for Memphis Intl AP, 12 km from the city centre.
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 0% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 2%.
All US cities ranked Weather alerts now
From 15 December this page also links the National Weather Service forecast for Memphis.
Memphis against other cities
Memphis, TN ranks 54 of 93 US cities on our list.
| New South Memphis, TN · 7 km | 1% |
|---|---|
| Nashville, TN · 316 km | 0% |
| St. Louis, MO · 387 km | 17% |
| Louisville, KY · 515 km | 9% |
| Atlanta, GA · 542 km | 1% |
| Tulsa, OK · 548 km | 6% |
What this page shows, and what it misses
NOAA's smoothed share of Christmases from 1991 to 2020 with snow on the ground at Memphis Intl AP (station USW00013893, 254 ft above sea level, 12 km from the centre of Memphis), based on 24 years with data.
It misses this year's weather and local differences: snow cover can change a lot over a few miles and a few hundred feet of height.
FAQQuestions people ask
Will Memphis, TN have a white Christmas?
Historically, Memphis, TN has a 1% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, rarely — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for Memphis Intl AP, 12 km from the city centre. These are long-run odds, not a forecast: from about a week before, check the National Weather Service forecast for Memphis.
How much snow does Memphis, TN usually have on Christmas Day?
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 0% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 2%.
How does Memphis, TN compare with other US cities?
Memphis, TN ranks 54 of 93 US cities on this list for the chance of 1 inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day.
Source: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (daily normals; Palecki, M., Durre, I., Applequist, S., Arguez, A. & Lawrimore, J., 2021), public domain. Forecast links: National Weather Service (api.weather.gov), public domain. Station matching and ranking are Global Incident Tracker's own; NOAA does not endorse them.