White Christmas in Mesa?
Historically, Mesa, AZ has a 0% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, almost never — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for Tempe ASU, 9 km from the city centre.
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 0% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 0%.
All US cities ranked Weather alerts now
From 15 December this page also links the National Weather Service forecast for Mesa.
Mesa against other cities
Mesa, AZ ranks 77 of 93 US cities on our list.
| Chandler, AZ · 13 km | 0% |
|---|---|
| Phoenix, AZ · 24 km | 0% |
| Tucson, AZ · 158 km | 0% |
| Henderson, NV · 410 km | under 1% |
| Las Vegas, NV · 430 km | 0% |
| Chula Vista, CA · 498 km | 0% |
What this page shows, and what it misses
NOAA's smoothed share of Christmases from 1991 to 2020 with snow on the ground at Tempe ASU (station USC00028499, 1,167 ft above sea level, 9 km from the centre of Mesa), based on 30 years with data.
It misses this year's weather and local differences: snow cover can change a lot over a few miles and a few hundred feet of height.
FAQQuestions people ask
Will Mesa, AZ have a white Christmas?
Historically, Mesa, AZ has a 0% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, almost never — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for Tempe ASU, 9 km from the city centre. These are long-run odds, not a forecast: from about a week before, check the National Weather Service forecast for Mesa.
How much snow does Mesa, AZ usually have on Christmas Day?
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 0% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 0%.
How does Mesa, AZ compare with other US cities?
Mesa, AZ ranks 77 of 93 US cities on this list for the chance of 1 inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day.
Source: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (daily normals; Palecki, M., Durre, I., Applequist, S., Arguez, A. & Lawrimore, J., 2021), public domain. Forecast links: National Weather Service (api.weather.gov), public domain. Station matching and ranking are Global Incident Tracker's own; NOAA does not endorse them.