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NOAA climate normals 1991–2020 · station USC00047821

White Christmas in San Jose?

Historically, San Jose, CA has a 0% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, almost never — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for San Jose, 1 km from the city centre.

At least 5 inches is on the ground in 0% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 0%.

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From 15 December this page also links the National Weather Service forecast for San Jose.

0%
1 inch+ on the ground
0%
3 inches+
0%
5 inches+
0%
Snow falls on the day

San Jose against other cities

San Jose, CA ranks 88 of 93 US cities on our list.

Oakland, CA · 61 km0%
San Francisco, CA · 67 km0%
Stockton, CA · 87 km0%
Sacramento, CA · 143 km0%
Fresno, CA · 200 km0%
Reno, NV · 304 km19%

Every city, ranked →

What this page shows, and what it misses

NOAA's smoothed share of Christmases from 1991 to 2020 with snow on the ground at San Jose (station USC00047821, 67 ft above sea level, 1 km from the centre of San Jose), based on 16 years with data (NOAA marks this normal provisional: fewer complete years).

It misses this year's weather and local differences: snow cover can change a lot over a few miles and a few hundred feet of height.

FAQQuestions people ask

Will San Jose, CA have a white Christmas?

Historically, San Jose, CA has a 0% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, almost never — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for San Jose, 1 km from the city centre. These are long-run odds, not a forecast: from about a week before, check the National Weather Service forecast for San Jose.

How much snow does San Jose, CA usually have on Christmas Day?

At least 5 inches is on the ground in 0% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 0%.

How does San Jose, CA compare with other US cities?

San Jose, CA ranks 88 of 93 US cities on this list for the chance of 1 inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day.

Source: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (daily normals; Palecki, M., Durre, I., Applequist, S., Arguez, A. & Lawrimore, J., 2021), public domain. Forecast links: National Weather Service (api.weather.gov), public domain. Station matching and ranking are Global Incident Tracker's own; NOAA does not endorse them.