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FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · OpenFEMA · NOAA SPC · data checked 2 Nov 2026

Bulloch County, Georgia: Natural Disaster Risk and History

Bulloch County, Georgia has a Relatively Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 75.4 out of 100, higher than about 75% of US counties, with hurricanes, earthquakes and heat waves scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $33 million a year in expected losses.

OpenFEMA lists 20 federal disaster declarations that included Bulloch County since 1977, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3642-GA (Severe Winter Storm, declared 24 January 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 17 tornadoes touching Bulloch County from 1950 to 2025.

Live weather alerts for Georgia All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations

Population 80,942 Buildings worth $16 billion Area 696 sq mi Risk rank in Georgia 21 of 159 FIPS 13031

All 18 hazards, highest risk first

FEMA National Risk Index
HazardRisk ratingScoreExpected loss a yearHow oftenEvents in record
HurricaneRelatively Moderate 92.4 $12 million about once every 4.1 years 85
EarthquakeRelatively Low 86.9 $3.1 million about once every 426 years —
Heat waveRelatively Moderate 83.5 $1.8 million about 8.2 a year 145
DroughtRelatively Moderate 83.3 $1.1 million about 25 a year 756
TornadoRelatively Moderate 80.2 $3.8 million about once every 3.3 years 14
Ice stormRelatively Moderate 73.8 $259,084 about once every 1.7 years 39
LightningRelatively Moderate 68.5 $447,536 about 67 a year 174,527 strikes
WildfireRelatively Low 64.0 $107,571 rarer than once in 1,000 years —
Inland floodingRelatively Low 60.6 $8.8 million about once every 2.0 years 14
HailRelatively Low 59.1 $349,498 about 2.3 a year 89
Cold waveRelatively Low 56.5 $1.2 million about once every 1.7 years 11
Strong windRelatively Low 30.6 $283,665 about 1.9 a year 71
Winter weatherRelatively Low 29.7 $28,114 about once every 1.4 years 14
LandslideVery Low 23.6 $160 about once every 8.5 years —
AvalancheNot Applicable — — — —
Coastal floodingNot Applicable — — — —
TsunamiNot Applicable — — — —
Volcanic activityNot Applicable — — — —

Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.

Federal disaster declarations 20

Most common: Hurricane 9, Tropical Storm 3, Severe Ice Storm 2, Severe Storm 2.

DecadeDeclarationsIncident types
1970s1Drought
1990s3Severe Storm ×2, Snowstorm
2000s1Hurricane
2010s9Hurricane ×6, Severe Ice Storm ×2, Tornado
2020s6Tropical Storm ×3, Hurricane ×2, Winter Storm

The last 10

Severe Winter Storm EM-3642-GA · Winter Storm · declared 24 Jan 2026
Hurricane Helene DR-4830-GA · Hurricane · declared 30 Sep 2024 · households could apply
Hurricane Helene EM-3616-GA · Tropical Storm · declared 26 Sep 2024
Tropical Storm Debby DR-4821-GA · Tropical Storm · declared 24 Sep 2024 · households could apply
Hurricane Debby EM-3607-GA · Tropical Storm · declared 5 Aug 2024
Hurricane Idalia DR-4738-GA · Hurricane · declared 7 Sep 2023 · households could apply
Hurricane Michael DR-4400-GA · Hurricane · declared 14 Oct 2018 · households could apply
Hurricane Michael EM-3406-GA · Hurricane · declared 10 Oct 2018
Hurricane Irma DR-4338-GA · Hurricane · declared 15 Sep 2017 · households could apply
Hurricane Irma EM-3387-GA · Hurricane · declared 8 Sep 2017

Widest declarations that included Bulloch County

  • Hurricane Helene (2024, EM-3616-GA): 159 Georgia counties designated.
  • Hurricane Irma (2017, DR-4338-GA): 159 Georgia counties designated.
  • Hurricane Irma (2017, EM-3387-GA): 159 Georgia counties designated.

Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Helene (2024), Tropical Storm Debby (2024), Hurricane Debby (2024), Hurricane Idalia (2023), Hurricane Michael (2018), Hurricane Irma (2017), Hurricane Matthew (2016), Hurricane Katrina (2005).

Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Georgia also had 6 statewide declarations with no county list.

Tornado record since 1950 17

Tornadoes touching the county17
Strongest-rated(E)F2 ×3
Peak monthSeptember (4)
Deadliest3 May 1984, F2, 20 mi path, 0 killed, 30 injured
Longest path3 May 1984, F2, 20 mi path, 0 killed, 30 injured
Most recent14 Jun 2023, EF0, 0.2 mi path
Deaths / injuries on those paths0 / 47
Rating(E)F0(E)F1(E)F2(E)F3(E)F4(E)F5Unrated
Count7730000
Decade1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Count10312631

Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.

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How Bulloch County compares with its 5 nearest counties

CountyDistanceOverall riskScoreTop hazard
Bulloch County (this page)—Relatively Low75.4 Hurricane
Evans County 30 kmVery Low21.9 Hurricane
Candler County 31 kmVery Low11.6 Hurricane
Effingham County 38 kmRelatively Low59.1 Hurricane
Screven County 41 kmRelatively Low43.9 Hurricane
Jenkins County 49 kmVery Low10.8 Hurricane

Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Georgia, ranked.

Vulnerability and resilience

Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate 44.6
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate 46.6
Community risk factor1.09
Expected annual loss, all hazards$33 million

FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.

Prepare for Bulloch County's main hazards

What this page shows, and what it misses

FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.

Questions about Bulloch County

What natural disasters is Bulloch County, Georgia most at risk from?

Bulloch County, Georgia has a Relatively Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 75.4 out of 100, higher than about 75% of US counties, with hurricanes, earthquakes and heat waves scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $33 million a year in expected losses.

How many federal disaster declarations has Bulloch County had?

OpenFEMA lists 20 federal disaster declarations that included Bulloch County since 1977, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3642-GA (Severe Winter Storm, declared 24 January 2026). Another 6 Georgia declarations were made statewide without a county list.

How many tornadoes have hit Bulloch County?

NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 17 tornadoes touching Bulloch County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 3 May 1984, F2, 20 mi path, 0 killed, 30 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).

Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?

No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.