Antrim County, Michigan: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Antrim County, Michigan has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 25.8 out of 100, higher than about 25% of US counties, with cold waves, landslides and lightning scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $9.6 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 5 federal disaster declarations that included Antrim County since 1977, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4925-MI (Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding, declared 30 June 2026). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 14 tornadoes touching Antrim County from 1950 to 2025.
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Population 23,425 Buildings worth $8.3 billion Area 608 sq mi Risk rank in Michigan 60 of 83 FIPS 26009
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cold wave | Relatively Moderate | 76.8 | $3.4 million | about 1.3 a year | 24 |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 72.5 | $8,170 | about once every 5.0 years | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | 44.0 | $210,439 | about 25 a year | 46,738 strikes |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 41.1 | $207,776 | about once every 1.2 years | 33 |
| Inland flooding | Relatively Low | 38.6 | $5.2 million | about once every 14 years | 2 |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 26.8 | $455,747 | about once every 13 years | 10 |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 26.1 | $12,805 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 17.2 | $5,268 | about once every 100 years | 0 |
| Heat wave | Very Low | 17.0 | $50,369 | about once every 1.4 years | 12 |
| Strong wind | Very Low | 16.6 | $159,697 | about once every 1.2 years | 29 |
| Coastal flooding | Very Low | 15.6 | — | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Winter weather | Very Low | 13.2 | $11,869 | about 37 a year | 702 |
| Ice storm | Very Low | 9.7 | $5,533 | about once every 14 years | 5 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 6.0 | $6,557 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Drought | No Rating | 0.0 | — | — | 0 |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Insufficient Data | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 5
Most common: Flood 1, Severe Ice Storm 1, Hurricane 1, Snowstorm 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1970s | 2 | Snowstorm, Drought |
| 2000s | 1 | Hurricane |
| 2020s | 2 | Flood, Severe Ice Storm |
The last 5
Widest declarations that included Antrim County
- Hurricane Katrina Evacuation (2005, EM-3225-MI): 83 Michigan counties designated.
- Blizzards & Snowstorms (1978, EM-3057-MI): 83 Michigan counties designated.
- Drought (1977, EM-3035-MI): 44 Michigan counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Michigan also had 3 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 14
| Tornadoes touching the county | 14 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F3 ×2 |
| Peak month | July (5) |
| Deadliest | 20 May 2022, EF3, 17.5 mi path, 2 killed, 44 injured |
| Longest path | 31 Jul 1977, F2, 19.4 mi path |
| Most recent | 22 Sep 2025, EF0, 0.1 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 2 / 46 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Antrim County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antrim County (this page) | — | Very Low | 25.8 | Cold wave |
| Charlevoix County | 34 km | Very Low | 22.3 | Cold wave |
| Kalkaska County | 35 km | Very Low | 21.3 | Winter weather |
| Otsego County | 43 km | Very Low | 18.4 | Hail |
| Grand Traverse County | 49 km | Relatively Low | 65.6 | Winter weather |
| Leelanau County | 53 km | Relatively Low | 48.3 | Cold wave |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Michigan, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively Low 26.2 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Very High 84.7 |
| Community risk factor | 0.94 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $9.6 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Antrim County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Michigan · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Cold wave: Carbon monoxide in winter · Power outages now
- Landslide: Landslides recorded
- Lightning: Weather alerts for Michigan
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Antrim County
What natural disasters is Antrim County, Michigan most at risk from?
Antrim County, Michigan has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 25.8 out of 100, higher than about 25% of US counties, with cold waves, landslides and lightning scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $9.6 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Antrim County had?
OpenFEMA lists 5 federal disaster declarations that included Antrim County since 1977, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is DR-4925-MI (Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding, declared 30 June 2026). Another 3 Michigan declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Antrim County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 14 tornadoes touching Antrim County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 20 May 2022, EF3, 17.5 mi path, 2 killed, 44 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.