Trumbull County, Ohio: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Trumbull County, Ohio has a Relatively Moderate natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 84.5 out of 100, higher than about 84% of US counties, with strong winds, hail and tornadoes scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $44 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 10 federal disaster declarations that included Trumbull County since 1969, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3346-OH (Severe Storms, declared 30 June 2012). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 21 tornadoes touching Trumbull County from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for Ohio All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 201,961 Buildings worth $47 billion Area 643 sq mi Risk rank in Ohio 10 of 88 FIPS 39155
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong wind | Relatively High | 96.9 | $3.2 million | about 2.3 a year | 88 |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 93.0 | $1.9 million | about 4.1 a year | 156 |
| Tornado | Relatively High | 90.8 | $6.4 million | about once every 3.6 years | 22 |
| Inland flooding | Relatively Moderate | 88.8 | $29 million | about 2.1 a year | 60 |
| Winter weather | Relatively High | 87.1 | $270,557 | about 16 a year | 299 |
| Lightning | Relatively High | 84.4 | $746,577 | about 4 a year | 211,693 strikes |
| Ice storm | Relatively Moderate | 81.2 | $374,350 | about once every 1.2 years | 57 |
| Heat wave | Relatively Low | 75.6 | $984,690 | about 1.7 a year | 31 |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | 69.4 | $459,110 | about once every 36 years | 10 |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | 69.2 | $623,879 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 43.7 | $26,814 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Cold wave | Relatively Low | 33.8 | $415,937 | about 3.7 a year | 70 |
| Landslide | Very Low | 24.5 | $153 | about once every 9.5 years | — |
| Drought | No Rating | 0.0 | — | — | 0 |
| Avalanche | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 10
Most common: Severe Storm 4, Tornado 3, Hurricane 1, Other 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1960s | 1 | Tornado |
| 1970s | 1 | Snowstorm |
| 1980s | 1 | Tornado |
| 1990s | 2 | Severe Storm ×2 |
| 2000s | 4 | Hurricane, Severe Storm, Other, Tornado |
| 2010s | 1 | Severe Storm |
The last 10
Widest declarations that included Trumbull County
- Severe Storms (2012, EM-3346-OH): 88 Ohio counties designated.
- Hurricane Katrina Evacuation (2005, EM-3250-OH): 88 Ohio counties designated.
- Severe Storms and Flooding (2004, DR-1556-OH): 88 Ohio counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Ohio also had 3 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 21
| Tornadoes touching the county | 21 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F3 ×2 |
| Peak month | August (6) |
| Deadliest | 5 Aug 1956, F3, 0.1 mi path, 2 killed, 0 injured |
| Longest path | 31 May 1985, F3, 15 mi path, 0 killed, 30 injured |
| Most recent | 17 Apr 2024, EF0, 3 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 2 / 30 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 4 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Trumbull County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trumbull County (this page) | — | Relatively Moderate | 84.5 | Strong wind |
| Mahoning County | 34 km | Relatively Moderate | 83.6 | Hail |
| Portage County | 40 km | Relatively Low | 65.1 | Hail |
| Geauga County | 40 km | Relatively Low | 60.3 | Winter weather |
| Mercer County, PA | 42 km | Relatively Low | 77.7 | Inland flooding |
| Ashtabula County | 43 km | Relatively Low | 62.6 | Winter weather |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Ohio, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Relatively High 65.6 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Relatively High 69.3 |
| Community risk factor | 1.26 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $44 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Trumbull County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Ohio · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Strong wind: Power outages now
- Hail: Weather alerts for Ohio
- Tornado: Is there a tornado warning now?
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Trumbull County
What natural disasters is Trumbull County, Ohio most at risk from?
Trumbull County, Ohio has a Relatively Moderate natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 84.5 out of 100, higher than about 84% of US counties, with strong winds, hail and tornadoes scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $44 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Trumbull County had?
OpenFEMA lists 10 federal disaster declarations that included Trumbull County since 1969, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is EM-3346-OH (Severe Storms, declared 30 June 2012). Another 3 Ohio declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Trumbull County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 21 tornadoes touching Trumbull County from 1950 to 2025. The deadliest: 5 Aug 1956, F3, 0.1 mi path, 2 killed, 0 injured (deaths and injuries are for the whole path).
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.