White Christmas in El Paso?
Historically, El Paso, TX has a 2% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, rarely — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for El Paso Intl AP, 12 km from the city centre.
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 0% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 3%.
All US cities ranked Weather alerts now
From 15 December this page also links the National Weather Service forecast for El Paso.
El Paso against other cities
El Paso, TX ranks 51 of 93 US cities on our list.
| Albuquerque, NM · 370 km | 4% |
|---|---|
| Tucson, AZ · 422 km | 0% |
| Chandler, AZ · 531 km | 0% |
| Mesa, AZ · 533 km | 0% |
| Phoenix, AZ · 556 km | 0% |
| Colorado Springs, CO · 801 km | 15% |
What this page shows, and what it misses
NOAA's smoothed share of Christmases from 1991 to 2020 with snow on the ground at El Paso Intl AP (station USW00023044, 3,918 ft above sea level, 12 km from the centre of El Paso), based on 19 years with data (NOAA marks this normal provisional: fewer complete years).
It misses this year's weather and local differences: snow cover can change a lot over a few miles and a few hundred feet of height.
FAQQuestions people ask
Will El Paso, TX have a white Christmas?
Historically, El Paso, TX has a 2% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, rarely — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for El Paso Intl AP, 12 km from the city centre. These are long-run odds, not a forecast: from about a week before, check the National Weather Service forecast for El Paso.
How much snow does El Paso, TX usually have on Christmas Day?
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 0% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 3%.
How does El Paso, TX compare with other US cities?
El Paso, TX ranks 51 of 93 US cities on this list for the chance of 1 inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day.
Source: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (daily normals; Palecki, M., Durre, I., Applequist, S., Arguez, A. & Lawrimore, J., 2021), public domain. Forecast links: National Weather Service (api.weather.gov), public domain. Station matching and ranking are Global Incident Tracker's own; NOAA does not endorse them.