Mineral County, Colorado: Natural Disaster Risk and History
Mineral County, Colorado has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 5.4 out of 100, higher than about 5% of US counties, with avalanches, landslides and lightning scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $4.6 million a year in expected losses.
OpenFEMA lists 6 federal disaster declarations that included Mineral County since 1970, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is FM-5031-CO (West Fork Fire Complex, declared 21 June 2013). NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 1 tornado touching Mineral County from 1950 to 2025.
Live weather alerts for Colorado All official warnings Latest FEMA declarations
Population 863 Buildings worth $753 million Area 887 sq mi Risk rank in Colorado 59 of 64 FIPS 08079
All 18 hazards, highest risk first
FEMA National Risk Index| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected loss a year | How often | Events in record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche | Relatively High | 90.2 | $2.4 million | about once every 7.5 years | 4 |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | 78.1 | $18,697 | about once every 1.8 years | — |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | 60.8 | $490,349 | about 62 a year | 13,276 strikes |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 45.8 | $51,769 | about once every 909 years | — |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 14.4 | $21,693 | rarer than once in 1,000 years | — |
| Inland flooding | Very Low | 7.5 | $1.5 million | about once every 14 years | 2 |
| Cold wave | Very Low | 5.4 | $30,844 | about once every 1.5 years | 13 |
| Winter weather | Very Low | 3.5 | $3,289 | about 32 a year | 616 |
| Tornado | Very Low | 2.3 | $5,760 | about once every 28 years | 1 |
| Ice storm | Very Low | 1.2 | $737 | about once every 67 years | 0 |
| Strong wind | Very Low | 1.0 | $1,268 | about once every 14 years | 3 |
| Hail | Very Low | 1.0 | $834 | about once every 6.7 years | 5.7 |
| Drought | No Rating | 0.0 | — | about 65 a year | 1,638 |
| Heat wave | No Rating | 0.0 | — | — | 0 |
| Coastal flooding | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Hurricane | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Tsunami | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
| Volcanic activity | Not Applicable | — | — | — | — |
Score: FEMA's percentile among US counties that face the hazard (higher = more risk). Expected loss: FEMA's modelled average yearly loss to buildings, people (as a statistical value) and crops. How often: FEMA's annualised frequency of the hazard in the county; for some hazards it counts event-days, so it is a rough guide, not a forecast. "Not Applicable" means FEMA does not model that hazard here.
Federal disaster declarations 6
Most common: Fire 2, Flood 2, Coastal Storm 1, Drought 1.
| Decade | Declarations | Incident types |
|---|---|---|
| 1970s | 3 | Flood ×2, Drought |
| 2000s | 2 | Coastal Storm, Fire |
| 2010s | 1 | Fire |
The last 6
Widest declarations that included Mineral County
- Hurricane Katrina Evacuation (2005, EM-3224-CO): 64 Colorado counties designated.
- Wildfires (2002, DR-1421-CO): 58 Colorado counties designated.
- Drought (1977, EM-3025-CO): 42 Colorado counties designated.
Named storms in its declarations: Hurricane Katrina (2005).
Not counted above: 2 COVID-19 ("Biological") declarations — in 2020 every US county was included. Colorado also had 12 statewide declarations with no county list.
Tornado record since 1950 1
| Tornadoes touching the county | 1 |
|---|---|
| Strongest-rated | (E)F2 ×1 |
| Peak month | October (1) |
| Deadliest | — |
| Longest path | 10 Oct 1997, F2, 3 mi path |
| Most recent | 10 Oct 1997, F2, 3 mi path |
| Deaths / injuries on those paths | 0 / 0 |
| Rating | (E)F0 | (E)F1 | (E)F2 | (E)F3 | (E)F4 | (E)F5 | Unrated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Decade | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Deaths and injuries are for each tornado's whole path, which can run beyond this county. F-scale ratings before February 2007, Enhanced Fujita (EF) after.
How Mineral County compares with its 5 nearest counties
| County | Distance | Overall risk | Score | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineral County (this page) | — | Very Low | 5.4 | Avalanche |
| Hinsdale County | 37 km | Very Low | 1.0 | Landslide |
| Rio Grande County | 49 km | Relatively Low | 45.8 | Landslide |
| Archuleta County | 54 km | Very Low | 34.5 | Wildfire |
| San Juan County | 67 km | Very Low | 10.7 | Avalanche |
| Saguache County | 73 km | Very Low | 14.2 | Landslide |
Nearest by distance between county centres. Every county in Colorado, ranked.
Vulnerability and resilience
| Social vulnerability | Very Low 10.6 |
|---|---|
| Community resilience | Relatively Moderate 57.4 |
| Community risk factor | 0.73 |
| Expected annual loss, all hazards | $4.6 million |
FEMA scales expected losses up where social vulnerability is high (people who may find it harder to prepare, evacuate or recover) and down where community resilience is high. A factor above 1 raises the risk score. For social vulnerability a high rating is worse; for resilience a high rating is better.
Prepare for Mineral County's main hazards
- Right now: National Weather Service alerts for Colorado · all official warnings on Global Incident Tracker.
- Avalanche: Official warnings now
- Landslide: Landslides recorded
- Lightning: Weather alerts for Colorado
- Your property's flood zone: FEMA Flood Map Service Center ↗ — this page cannot tell you that.
- Official preparedness guidance: Ready.gov ↗ and your county emergency management office.
What this page shows, and what it misses
FEMA's National Risk Index rates a whole county against every other US county; it is a planning-level estimate for nationwide comparison, not a flood-zone map and not a substitute for a local risk assessment or the risk to one home. Declarations are presidential disaster, emergency and fire management declarations that named this county; state declarations and SBA or USDA designations are not included. Tornadoes are counted when the county is one of up to four listed on the track; 670 tornadoes that crossed a state line carry no county list in NOAA's file and are left out.
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), National Risk Index Dataset: National Risk Index Counties - v1.20.0 (December 2025). Retrieved from https://services.arcgis.com/XG15cJAlne2vxtgt/ArcGIS/rest/services/National_Risk_Index_Counties/FeatureServer/0/query on November 2, 2026, 1:20 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Risk Index dataset API or downloadable datasets but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), OpenFEMA Dataset: Disaster Declarations Summaries - v2, retrieved from https://www.fema.gov/api/open/v2/DisasterDeclarationsSummaries on November 2, 2026, 1:21 PM EST. This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
Tornado records: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Severe Weather Database, tornadoes 1950–2025 (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/data/1950-2025_actual_tornadoes.csv, downloaded 2 November 2026). Public domain; not endorsed by NOAA. Compiled by Global Incident Tracker.
Questions about Mineral County
What natural disasters is Mineral County, Colorado most at risk from?
Mineral County, Colorado has a Very Low natural-hazard risk rating in FEMA's National Risk Index (v1.20, December 2025): a score of 5.4 out of 100, higher than about 5% of US counties, with avalanches, landslides and lightning scoring highest of its 18 hazards and $4.6 million a year in expected losses.
How many federal disaster declarations has Mineral County had?
OpenFEMA lists 6 federal disaster declarations that included Mineral County since 1970, not counting 2 for COVID-19; the latest is FM-5031-CO (West Fork Fire Complex, declared 21 June 2013). Another 12 Colorado declarations were made statewide without a county list.
How many tornadoes have hit Mineral County?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 1 tornado touching Mineral County from 1950 to 2025.
Is the National Risk Index a flood zone map?
No. The National Risk Index is a planning-level estimate for a whole county, built for nationwide comparison. It does not tell you the flood zone or the risk of a single property: for that, look up the address on FEMA's Flood Map Service Center (msc.fema.gov) and ask your local floodplain manager.