White Christmas in Madison?
Historically, Madison, WI has a 60% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, more often than not — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for Madison Dane Rgnl AP, 9 km from the city centre.
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 25% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 27%.
All US cities ranked Weather alerts now
From 15 December this page also links the National Weather Service forecast for Madison.
Madison against other cities
Madison, WI ranks 4 of 93 US cities on our list.
| Milwaukee, WI · 122 km | 43% |
|---|---|
| Chicago, IL · 198 km | 35% |
| Saint Paul, MN · 361 km | 74% |
| Minneapolis, MN · 375 km | 79% |
| Fort Wayne, IN · 413 km | 31% |
| Indianapolis, IN · 456 km | 26% |
What this page shows, and what it misses
NOAA's smoothed share of Christmases from 1991 to 2020 with snow on the ground at Madison Dane Rgnl AP (station USW00014837, 866 ft above sea level, 9 km from the centre of Madison), based on 29 years with data.
It misses this year's weather and local differences: snow cover can change a lot over a few miles and a few hundred feet of height.
FAQQuestions people ask
Will Madison, WI have a white Christmas?
Historically, Madison, WI has a 60% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, more often than not — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for Madison Dane Rgnl AP, 9 km from the city centre. These are long-run odds, not a forecast: from about a week before, check the National Weather Service forecast for Madison.
How much snow does Madison, WI usually have on Christmas Day?
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 25% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 27%. The median snow depth on 25 December at this station is 4 inches.
How does Madison, WI compare with other US cities?
Madison, WI ranks 4 of 93 US cities on this list for the chance of 1 inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day.
Source: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (daily normals; Palecki, M., Durre, I., Applequist, S., Arguez, A. & Lawrimore, J., 2021), public domain. Forecast links: National Weather Service (api.weather.gov), public domain. Station matching and ranking are Global Incident Tracker's own; NOAA does not endorse them.