White Christmas in Minneapolis?
Historically, Minneapolis, MN has a 79% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, about 3 Christmases in 4 — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for New Hope, 10 km from the city centre.
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 41% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 31%.
All US cities ranked Weather alerts now
From 15 December this page also links the National Weather Service forecast for Minneapolis.
Minneapolis against other cities
Minneapolis, MN ranks 2 of 93 US cities on our list.
| Saint Paul, MN · 14 km | 74% |
|---|---|
| Madison, WI · 375 km | 60% |
| Omaha, NE · 468 km | 33% |
| Milwaukee, WI · 480 km | 43% |
| Lincoln, NE · 541 km | 31% |
| Chicago, IL · 571 km | 35% |
What this page shows, and what it misses
NOAA's smoothed share of Christmases from 1991 to 2020 with snow on the ground at New Hope (station USC00215838, 910 ft above sea level, 10 km from the centre of Minneapolis), based on 29 years with data.
It misses this year's weather and local differences: snow cover can change a lot over a few miles and a few hundred feet of height.
FAQQuestions people ask
Will Minneapolis, MN have a white Christmas?
Historically, Minneapolis, MN has a 79% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, about 3 Christmases in 4 — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for New Hope, 10 km from the city centre. These are long-run odds, not a forecast: from about a week before, check the National Weather Service forecast for Minneapolis.
How much snow does Minneapolis, MN usually have on Christmas Day?
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 41% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 31%. The median snow depth on 25 December at this station is 5 inches.
How does Minneapolis, MN compare with other US cities?
Minneapolis, MN ranks 2 of 93 US cities on this list for the chance of 1 inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day.
Source: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (daily normals; Palecki, M., Durre, I., Applequist, S., Arguez, A. & Lawrimore, J., 2021), public domain. Forecast links: National Weather Service (api.weather.gov), public domain. Station matching and ranking are Global Incident Tracker's own; NOAA does not endorse them.