White Christmas in Saint Paul?
Historically, Saint Paul, MN has a 74% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, about 3 Christmases in 4 — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for Minneapolis/St Paul AP, 13 km from the city centre.
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 39% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 28%.
All US cities ranked Weather alerts now
From 15 December this page also links the National Weather Service forecast for Saint Paul.
Saint Paul against other cities
Saint Paul, MN ranks 3 of 93 US cities on our list.
| Minneapolis, MN · 14 km | 79% |
|---|---|
| Madison, WI · 361 km | 60% |
| Milwaukee, WI · 466 km | 43% |
| Omaha, NE · 471 km | 33% |
| Lincoln, NE · 545 km | 31% |
| Chicago, IL · 558 km | 35% |
What this page shows, and what it misses
NOAA's smoothed share of Christmases from 1991 to 2020 with snow on the ground at Minneapolis/St Paul AP (station USW00014922, 872 ft above sea level, 13 km from the centre of Saint Paul), based on 27 years with data.
It misses this year's weather and local differences: snow cover can change a lot over a few miles and a few hundred feet of height.
FAQQuestions people ask
Will Saint Paul, MN have a white Christmas?
Historically, Saint Paul, MN has a 74% chance of a white Christmas — at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on 25 December, about 3 Christmases in 4 — based on NOAA's 1991–2020 normals for Minneapolis/St Paul AP, 13 km from the city centre. These are long-run odds, not a forecast: from about a week before, check the National Weather Service forecast for Saint Paul.
How much snow does Saint Paul, MN usually have on Christmas Day?
At least 5 inches is on the ground in 39% of years, and new snow (0.1 inch or more) falls on Christmas Day in 28%. The median snow depth on 25 December at this station is 5 inches.
How does Saint Paul, MN compare with other US cities?
Saint Paul, MN ranks 3 of 93 US cities on this list for the chance of 1 inch or more of snow on the ground on Christmas Day.
Source: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020 (daily normals; Palecki, M., Durre, I., Applequist, S., Arguez, A. & Lawrimore, J., 2021), public domain. Forecast links: National Weather Service (api.weather.gov), public domain. Station matching and ranking are Global Incident Tracker's own; NOAA does not endorse them.